Region = AZ 2  South            
   Nickname = Z Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Storie           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2818146    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 H Horizon                AZ 2  North   ( 7- 6, 88.3)     9- 5   
 223 H Hamilton               AZ 2  East    (11- 3, 93.0)     5- 8   
 305 H Oro Valley             AZ 2  South   ( 0-12, 70.0)    17- 2   
 312 A Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ 2  South   (13- 2, 98.4)    11-12   
 315 A Phoenix Country Day    AZ 2  North   ( 6- 7, 91.1)     6- 8   
 319 A Oro Valley             AZ 2  South   ( 0-12, 70.0)    11- 0   
 326 A Catalina Foothills     AZ 2  South   ( 5- 7, 84.7)    10- 5   
 329 A Mesa                   AZ 2  East    ( 4- 8, 83.7)     5- 2   
 402 H Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ 2  South   (13- 2, 98.4)     5-14   
 405 A Pinnacle               AZ 2  North   ( 2-10, 79.9)    13- 6   
 409 H Catalina Foothills     AZ 2  South   ( 5- 7, 84.7)    11- 3   
 412 A Mesquite               AZ 2  East    ( 1-11, 80.3)    12-11  o
 415 H Horizon                AZ 2  North   ( 7- 6, 88.3)    12-11   
 419 N Notre Dame Prep        AZ 2  North   (13- 1, 99.9)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Horizon                 9- 5       4     2           1.78
   223 H Hamilton                5- 8      -3    -2          -0.53
   305 H Oro Valley             17- 2      15    20           0.00
   312 A Tucson Tanque Verde    11-12      -1    -8    +++    7.15
   315 A Phoenix Country Day     6- 8      -2     0          -1.16
   319 A Oro Valley             11- 0      11    20           0.00
   326 A Catalina Foothills     10- 5       5     5          -0.51
   329 A Mesa                    5- 2       3     6    -     -3.51
   402 H Tucson Tanque Verde     5-14      -9    -7          -1.11
   405 A Pinnacle               13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   409 H Catalina Foothills     11- 3       8     5    +      2.23
   412 A Mesquite               12-11  o    1     9    ---   -8.93
   415 H Horizon                12-11       1     2          -1.22
   419 N Notre Dame Prep         6-19     -13    -9          -0.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Mesquite               12-11  o    1     9    ---   -8.93
   329 A Mesa                    5- 2       3     6    -     -3.51
   405 A Pinnacle               13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Tucson Tanque Verde    11-12      -1    -8    +++    7.15
   409 H Catalina Foothills     11- 3       8     5    +      2.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.35 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.99 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/