Conf =  Fitch                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Pirates              Coach  =   Dave Giarusso         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7274170    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Roxbury                NJ    Grp-III (12- 7, 80.0)    14- 7   
 405 H Morris Knolls          NJ    Grp-III ( 5-12, 68.3)    13- 1   
 407 H Mount Olive            NJ    Grp-II  ( 8-10, 74.0)    12- 5   
 409 H Livingston             NJ    Grp-III ( 4-14, 68.4)    14- 0   
 412 A Summit                 NJ    Grp-I   (15- 6, 89.3)     5- 6  o
 415 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-II  (17- 4, 91.0)     6-11   
 419 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (18- 4, 89.5)     9- 8   
 422 A Randolph               NJ    Grp-III ( 6-11, 80.5)     9- 6   
 425 A Westfield              NJ    Grp-III ( 3-16, 75.4)     7- 2   
 430 A Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 91.0)    10- 6   
 502 H Columbia               NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 9, 83.6)    11- 9   
 504 H Newark Academy         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-10, 75.1)    15- 5   
 511 H Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 8, 83.2)    11- 6   
 513 H West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   ( 8- 8, 83.7)    11- 9   
 515 H Chatham                NJ    Grp-I   (19- 2, 96.5)    11-17   
 518 H Columbia               NJ    Grp-IV  (10- 9, 83.6)     5- 4   
 523 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (10- 7, 88.8)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Roxbury                14- 7       7     8          -1.85
   405 H Morris Knolls          13- 1      12    20           0.00
   407 H Mount Olive            12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   409 H Livingston             14- 0      14    20           0.00
   412 A Summit                  5- 6  o   -1    -2           1.67
   415 H West Morris Central     6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.80
   419 A St Joseph Metuchen      9- 8       1    -2    +      3.85
   422 A Randolph                9- 6       3     6    -     -3.15
   425 A Westfield               7- 2       5    11    --    -5.00
   430 A Madison Boro           10- 6       4    -4    +++    8.39
   502 H Columbia               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.26
   504 H Newark Academy         15- 5      10    13           0.00
   511 H Glen Ridge             11- 6       5     5          -0.69
   513 H West Essex Regional    11- 9       2     5    -     -3.12
   515 H Chatham                11-17      -6    -7           1.62
   518 H Columbia                5- 4       1     5    --    -4.26
   523 H Bergen Catholic         8-11      -3     0    -     -3.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Westfield               7- 2       5    11    --    -5.00
   518 H Columbia                5- 4       1     5    --    -4.26
   407 H Mount Olive            12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   415 H West Morris Central     6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.80
   422 A Randolph                9- 6       3     6    -     -3.15
   502 H Columbia               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.26
   513 H West Essex Regional    11- 9       2     5    -     -3.12
   523 H Bergen Catholic         8-11      -3     0    -     -3.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Madison Boro           10- 6       4    -4    +++    8.39
   419 A St Joseph Metuchen      9- 8       1    -2    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.74 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.80 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   123
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/