Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Braves               Coach  =   Rob Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.3685074    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.3)     6- 5   
 401 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     0-15   
 403 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.9)    12- 4   
 407 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.8)     1- 9   
 409 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)     5- 9   
 415 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     6- 7   
 417 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 82.8)     7- 6   
 423 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)     4-13   
 429 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 77.0)     9- 4   
 501 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.1)     7-15   
 507 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 90.1)     2- 9   
 510 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 90.8)     7-17   
 513 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.3)     8- 9 2o
 515 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 98.7)     2- 9   
 517 A Long Beach             NY A  Sec 8   (14- 5, 96.3)    10-15   
 519 H Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 76.6)    12-11  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Eastport/South Manor    6- 5       1    -2    +      3.93
   401 H West Islip              0-15     -15   -17           0.00
   403 A Copiague               12- 4       8     1    +++    6.49
   407 A Middle Country          1- 9      -8    -6          -1.62
   409 H Smithtown East          5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.96
   415 H Smithtown West          6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.36
   417 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 6       1    -1    +      2.47
   423 H Lindenhurst             4-13      -9   -10           1.00
   429 A Patchogue-Medford       9- 4       5     4           0.60
   501 A Half Hollow Hills West  7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   507 H Bay Shore               2- 9      -7    -8           1.07
   510 A William Floyd           7-17     -10    -9          -0.61
   513 H Connetquot              8- 9 2o   -1    -2           1.23
   515 A Ward Melville           2- 9      -7   -17    +      3.00
   517 A Long Beach             10-15      -5   -15          n/a  
   519 H Deer Park              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Deer Park              12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Copiague               12- 4       8     1    +++    6.49
   415 H Smithtown West          6- 7      -1    -9    +++    8.36
   517 A Long Beach             10-15      -5   -15    ++         
   328 A Eastport/South Manor    6- 5       1    -2    +      3.93
   409 H Smithtown East          5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.96
   417 A Half Hollow Hills East  7- 6       1    -1    +      2.47
   501 A Half Hollow Hills West  7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   515 A Ward Melville           2- 9      -7   -17    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.72 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.55 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/