Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.3825150    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.3)    12-19   
 328 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 79.7)     7- 6   
 401 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 98.7)     1-12   
 403 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.1)    14- 7   
 405 N Cranford               NJ    Grp-II  (15- 4, 85.6)     6- 9   
 409 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 90.8)     2-16   
 415 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.1)     3-16   
 417 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 80.6)     7-12   
 423 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.1)    12-17   
 425 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 75.0)    14- 9   
 429 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.5)     5-14   
 501 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     2-15   
 507 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.3)     6-14   
 510 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)     4-15   
 513 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.4)    11-13   
 515 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     4-15   
 519 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.3)    13-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Eastport/South Manor   12-19      -7    -7           0.38
   328 H Bayport-Blue Point      7- 6       1    -2    +      3.80
   401 H Ward Melville           1-12     -11   -21           0.00
   403 A North Babylon          14- 7       7     4    +      2.84
   405 N Cranford                6- 9      -3    -8          n/a  
   409 H William Floyd           2-16     -14   -13           0.00
   415 H Half Hollow Hills West  3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   417 H West Babylon            7-12      -5    -3          -1.30
   423 H Northport              12-17      -5    -9    ++     4.21
   425 A Commack                14- 9       5     1    +      3.78
   429 A Bellport                5-14      -9    -8          -0.71
   501 A Smithtown West          2-15     -13   -15           0.00
   507 H East Islip              6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
   510 A Smithtown East          4-15     -11   -13           0.00
   513 H Longwood               11-13      -2     0    -     -2.52
   515 A West Islip              4-15     -11   -23           0.00
   519 A Walt Whitman           13-12  o    1    -8    +++    9.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Longwood               11-13      -2     0    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Walt Whitman           13-12  o    1    -8    +++    9.08
   405 N Cranford                6- 9      -3    -8    ++         
   423 H Northport              12-17      -5    -9    ++     4.21
   328 H Bayport-Blue Point      7- 6       1    -2    +      3.80
   403 A North Babylon          14- 7       7     4    +      2.84
   425 A Commack                14- 9       5     1    +      3.78
   507 H East Islip              6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.57 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.44 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/