Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.9916458    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 70.1)    13- 0   
 404 H Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.0)     9- 8  o
 408 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-12, 80.4)    17- 4   
 410 A Newark                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-12, 73.3)    20- 3   
 412 N Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (21- 3, 99.4)     6-16   
 415 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 91.5)     8- 7 2o
 417 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 90.1)     7-10   
 422 H Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (23- 1, 99.9)     4- 5   
 425 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     9-12   
 429 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-13, 71.8)    18- 3   
 501 A Geneva                 NY B  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.0)     6- 8   
 508 H Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   ( 6-13, 72.1)    23- 2   
 510 A Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (19- 2, 98.2)     8-16   
 512 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-12, 80.4)    18- 4   
 514 N Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)     8- 0   
 520 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (13- 8, 83.1)    20- 4   
 522 A Canandaigua            NY A  Sec 5   (23- 1, 99.9)     7- 9   
 530 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-13, 71.8)    21- 2   
 603 N Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 75.6)    18- 3   
 606 N Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (13- 8, 83.1)    17- 5   
 610 N Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (17- 3, 90.3)    18- 2   
 612 N Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (18- 5, 99.9)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Mynderse Academy       13- 0      13    21           0.00
   404 H Geneva                  9- 8  o    1     0           0.42
   408 A Victor                 17- 4      13    11           0.00
   410 A Newark                 20- 3      17    18           0.00
   412 N Carthage                6-16     -10    -6          n/a  
   415 N Webster Schroeder       8- 7 2o    1     1          -0.07
   417 A Fairport                7-10      -3     1    --    -4.36
   422 H Canandaigua             4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.32
   425 H Hamburg                 9-12      -3    -6          n/a  
   429 H Palmyra-Macedon        18- 3      15    21           0.00
   501 A Geneva                  6- 8      -2    -1          -0.47
   508 H Waterloo               23- 2      21    21           0.00
   510 A Lafayette               8-16      -8    -6          n/a  
   512 H Victor                 18- 4      14    13           0.00
   514 N Williamsville North     8- 0       8     9          n/a  
   520 H Livonia                20- 4      16    10           0.00
   522 A Canandaigua             7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.43
   530 H Palmyra-Macedon        21- 2      19    21           0.00
   603 N Midlakes               18- 3      15    16           0.00
   606 N Livonia                17- 5      12     9           0.58
   610 N Salamanca              18- 2      16     2          n/a  
   612 N Corning East            5- 9      -4    -7          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Fairport                7-10      -3     1    --    -4.36
   412 N Carthage                6-16     -10    -6    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Canandaigua             7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.43
   610 N Salamanca              18- 2      16     2    +++        
   422 H Canandaigua             4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.32
   425 H Hamburg                 9-12      -3    -6    +          
   612 N Corning East            5- 9      -4    -7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.53 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.24 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/