Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ    Private          
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Ross Turco            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6304703    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 2-16, 66.3)    13- 1   
 402 A Notre Dame-Trenton     NJ    Grp-A   ( 4-12, 74.9)     5- 0   
 405 H Ridgewood              NJ    Grp-III (18- 5, 94.8)     5-12   
 409 H Hun School             NJ    Private (11- 9, 82.8)    10- 5   
 411 H Academy New Church     PA    Noeast  ( 9- 8, 74.2)    11- 1   
 414 H Princeton Day          NJ    Private ( 4-13, 70.9)    16- 8   
 416 H Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  (10-13, 84.0)     9- 6   
 419 H Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   ( 2-12, 72.5)    13- 3   
 421 A Moorestown             NJ    Grp-II  (14- 8, 88.2)     6- 5   
 423 A Hill School            PA    Indep   (11- 5, 90.4)     8-16   
 426 A Wyoming Seminary       PA    Indep   ( 9- 7, 78.2)    12- 4   
 428 H Hun School             NJ    Private (11- 9, 82.8)    12-11  o
 501 H Hopewell Valley        NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-11, 76.9)    12- 7   
 503 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  (15- 6, 85.1)    13- 6   
 505 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (17- 2, 99.9)     4-18   
 507 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (16- 5, 88.1)    14- 9   
 510 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp-IV  (18- 4, 92.9)    10-17   
 514 H Princeton HS           NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-10, 78.0)    12- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Blair Academy          13- 1      12    22           0.00
   402 A Notre Dame-Trenton      5- 0       5    11    --    -5.00
   405 H Ridgewood               5-12      -7    -6          -0.54
   409 H Hun School             10- 5       5     5          -0.60
   411 H Academy New Church     11- 1      10    14          n/a  
   414 H Princeton Day          16- 8       8    17    -     -2.00
   416 H Bridgewater-Raritan     9- 6       3     4          -1.36
   419 H Mercersburg Academy    13- 3      10    15          n/a  
   421 A Moorestown              6- 5       1    -2    +      3.08
   423 A Hill School             8-16      -8    -4          n/a  
   426 A Wyoming Seminary       12- 4       8     7          n/a  
   428 H Hun School             12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.60
   501 H Hopewell Valley        12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   503 H South Brunswick        13- 6       7     3    +      3.78
   505 A Lawrenceville           4-18     -14   -13           0.00
   507 A Christian Bros         14- 9       5    -1    +++    6.98
   510 A Hunterdon Central      10-17      -7    -6          -0.29
   514 H Princeton HS           12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Notre Dame-Trenton      5- 0       5    11    --    -5.00
   428 H Hun School             12-11  o    1     5    --    -4.60
   501 H Hopewell Valley        12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   414 H Princeton Day          16- 8       8    17    -     -2.00
   423 A Hill School             8-16      -8    -4    -          
   514 H Princeton HS           12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Christian Bros         14- 9       5    -1    +++    6.98
   421 A Moorestown              6- 5       1    -2    +      3.08
   503 H South Brunswick        13- 6       7     3    +      3.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.27 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.73 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   103
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/