Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Raiders              Coach  =   Conrad Bernatsky      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.0502472    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.4)     7- 8   
 327 H Westhampton Beach      NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.9)     3- 4   
 329 A Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.5)     9- 4   
 401 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)     5-11   
 403 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 76.6)     8- 7  o
 409 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     6-18   
 411 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.3)     4- 5 2o
 415 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)     3-12   
 417 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 90.1)     3-12   
 423 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     4-10   
 425 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.8)     4- 8   
 429 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)     4- 9   
 501 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.4)     5- 7   
 505 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.9)     4- 6   
 507 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 82.8)     7-14   
 510 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 98.7)     1-11   
 515 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 90.8)    10-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Longwood                7- 8      -1     0          -1.22
   327 H Westhampton Beach       3- 4      -1    -1           0.61
   329 A Bellport                9- 4       5    -7    +++   12.90
   401 H Smithtown East          5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   403 A Deer Park               8- 7  o    1     0           0.96
   409 H West Islip              6-18     -12   -22           0.00
   411 A Connetquot              4- 5 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.69
   415 A Lindenhurst             3-12      -9   -16           1.00
   417 H Bay Shore               3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   423 H Smithtown West          4-10      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   425 H Middle Country          4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   429 H Sachem East             4- 9      -5    -4          -0.60
   501 A Riverhead               5- 7      -2    -2           0.79
   505 H Copiague                4- 6      -2    -2           0.54
   507 A Half Hollow Hills East  7-14      -7    -6          -0.78
   510 H Ward Melville           1-11     -10   -21           0.00
   515 A William Floyd          10-18      -8   -14    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Bellport                9- 4       5    -7    +++   12.90
   411 A Connetquot              4- 5 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.69
   425 H Middle Country          4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   401 H Smithtown East          5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   423 H Smithtown West          4-10      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   515 A William Floyd          10-18      -8   -14    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.97 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.96 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/