Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lumberjacks          Coach  =   Derrick Rose          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.4549179    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Wilson                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-15, 66.1)     9- 8  o
 410 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)     1-21   
 422 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 90.6)     2- 9   
 423 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 79.5)     0-14   
 424 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 78.1)     2-10   
 429 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 66.7)    10- 4   
 501 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     6- 4   
 502 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 83.9)     3-15   
 506 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.7)     0-25   
 507 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.1)     1-13   
 509 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (15- 6, 94.7)     1-25   
 514 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 79.3)     2-14   
 519 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)     3-15   
 527 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 78.1)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Wilson                  9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.24
   410 H Clarence                1-21     -20   -15           0.00
   422 A Frontier                2- 9      -7   -20    +      3.00
   423 H St Joseph Collegiate    0-14     -14    -8          -1.82
   424 H West Seneca West        2-10      -8    -6          -1.26
   429 A Jamestown              10- 4       6     3    +      2.79
   501 H Gow School              6- 4       2   -21          n/a  
   502 H Lancaster               3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   506 A Orchard Park            0-25     -25   -29           0.00
   507 H Williamsville East      1-13     -12   -16           0.00
   509 H Niagara Wheatfield      1-25     -24   -23           0.00
   514 A Lockport                2-14     -12    -9          -0.58
   519 H Williamsville North     3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   527 A West Seneca West        6-14      -8    -8           0.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Wilson                  9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Gow School              6- 4       2   -21    +++        
   422 A Frontier                2- 9      -7   -20    +      3.00
   429 A Jamestown              10- 4       6     3    +      2.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.59 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.94 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -24.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.7
/