Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Shiffert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.4192505    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 93.2)     6- 9   
 329 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 96.8)     5- 7   
 408 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 66.7)    24- 1   
 412 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 71.8)    19- 4   
 419 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)    16-17   
 421 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 83.9)    15- 9   
 423 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)    12-11   
 426 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 4, 91.9)    15- 9   
 428 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 78.1)    16- 6   
 501 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 80.5)    16- 3   
 502 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)    19- 6   
 506 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 79.3)    11- 5   
 509 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 70.6)    25- 1   
 510 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   (11- 8, 82.5)    15- 3   
 513 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.7)    14-17   
 515 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 90.6)    13-11   
 519 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (15- 4, 95.1)    15-16  o
 524 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (17- 3, 90.3)    20-11   
 530 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 79.3)    18- 3   
 603 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 90.6)    14- 9   
 606 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.7)    13-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Amherst                 6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.85
   329 A Ithaca                  5- 7      -2    -2          n/a  
   408 H Jamestown              24- 1      23    28           0.00
   412 A Nichols                19- 4      15    22           0.00
   419 H Hamburg                16-17      -1    -4    +      3.43
   421 H Lancaster              15- 9       6    11    --    -4.00
   423 A Clarence               12-11       1     7    ---   -6.45
   426 A Timon St Jude          15- 9       6     2    +      3.93
   428 H West Seneca West       16- 6      10    17           0.00
   501 A Grand Island           16- 3      13    13           0.00
   502 H Williamsville North    19- 6      13    12           0.00
   506 A Lockport               11- 5       6    14    --    -4.00
   509 A North Tonawanda        25- 1      24    23           0.00
   510 H Eden                   15- 3      12    12           0.00
   513 A Orchard Park           14-17      -3    -5    +      2.66
   515 A Frontier               13-11       2     3          -1.37
   519 A Cicero-North Syracuse  15-16  o   -1    -1          n/a  
   524 H Salamanca              20-11       9     5    +      3.81
   530 H Lockport               18- 3      15    16           0.00
   603 H Frontier               14- 9       5     4           0.18
   606 N Orchard Park           13-15      -2    -4    +      2.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Clarence               12-11       1     7    ---   -6.45
   421 H Lancaster              15- 9       6    11    --    -4.00
   506 A Lockport               11- 5       6    14    --    -4.00
   326 A Amherst                 6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Hamburg                16-17      -1    -4    +      3.43
   426 A Timon St Jude          15- 9       6     2    +      3.93
   513 A Orchard Park           14-17      -3    -5    +      2.66
   524 H Salamanca              20-11       9     5    +      3.81
   606 N Orchard Park           13-15      -2    -4    +      2.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.74 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.55 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   14.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/