Region = VT 1  MVLI             
   Nickname = T Patriots             Coach  =   Matt Morrissey        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8663101    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 H Mount St Joseph        VT 1  Indep   ( 0-12, 69.0)    14- 0   
 412 A South Burlington       VT 1  NVAC    ( 6-10, 90.3)     2- 6   
 419 H Middlebury Union       VT 1  NVAC    (12- 6, 98.6)     4-11   
 422 H Woodstock              VT 1  MVLI    ( 9- 6, 92.4)     6- 7   
 424 N Mount St Joseph        VT 1  Indep   ( 0-12, 69.0)    16- 0   
 426 A Burr-Burton Academy    VT 2  MVLI    (15- 3, 94.1)     3- 4   
 429 H Brattleboro            VT 1  MVLI    ( 4-12, 77.8)    17- 0   
 501 A Rutland                VT 1  MVLI    ( 5-12, 85.8)     5- 2   
 505 A Brattleboro            VT 1  MVLI    ( 4-12, 77.8)     6- 1   
 510 A Mt Mansfield Union     VT 1  NVAC    (10- 8, 95.7)     2- 9   
 513 H Burr-Burton Academy    VT 2  MVLI    (15- 3, 94.1)     6- 4   
 515 H Rutland                VT 1  MVLI    ( 5-12, 85.8)     2- 1   
 517 H Champlain Valley       VT 1  NVAC    (15- 4, 99.6)     1-10   
 520 A Otter Valley Union     VT 2  NVAC    ( 1-12, 77.2)    11- 2   
 523 A Hartford               VT 2  NVAC    (13- 5, 95.7)     3- 5   
 528 A St Joseph Central      MA 2          (14- 6, 85.2)     3-12   
 604 H South Burlington       VT 1  NVAC    ( 6-10, 90.3)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Mount St Joseph        14- 0      14    20           0.00
   412 A South Burlington        2- 6      -4    -1    -     -2.09
   419 H Middlebury Union        4-11      -7    -9    +      2.43
   422 H Woodstock               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.18
   424 N Mount St Joseph        16- 0      16    19           0.00
   426 A Burr-Burton Academy     3- 4      -1    -6          n/a  
   429 H Brattleboro            17- 0      17    11           0.00
   501 A Rutland                 5- 2       3     2           0.34
   505 A Brattleboro             6- 1       5    10    --    -5.00
   510 A Mt Mansfield Union      2- 9      -7    -7           0.27
   513 H Burr-Burton Academy     6- 4       2    -4          n/a  
   515 H Rutland                 2- 1       1     3    -     -2.45
   517 H Champlain Valley        1-10      -9   -10           1.00
   520 A Otter Valley Union     11- 2       9    10          n/a  
   523 A Hartford                3- 5      -2    -7          n/a  
   528 A St Joseph Central       3-12      -9     3          n/a  
   604 H South Burlington        7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   528 A St Joseph Central       3-12      -9     3    ---        
   505 A Brattleboro             6- 1       5    10    --    -5.00
   412 A South Burlington        2- 6      -4    -1    -     -2.09
   515 H Rutland                 2- 1       1     3    -     -2.45
   604 H South Burlington        7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Burr-Burton Academy     6- 4       2    -4    +++        
   426 A Burr-Burton Academy     3- 4      -1    -6    ++         
   523 A Hartford                3- 5      -2    -7    ++         
   419 H Middlebury Union        4-11      -7    -9    +      2.43
   422 H Woodstock               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.83 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.09 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/