Mesa                          4 - 8


 
                                     Region = AZ 2  East             
   Nickname = Z Heat                 Coach  =   Geoff Larsen          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.8611908    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 H Horizon                AZ 2  North   ( 7- 6, 88.3)     6- 9   
 213 A Notre Dame Prep        AZ 2  North   (13- 1, 99.9)     8-15   
 216 H Pinnacle               AZ 2  North   ( 2-10, 79.9)     6-15   
 220 H Hamilton               AZ 2  East    (11- 3, 93.0)     5-13   
 223 A Oro Valley             AZ 2  South   ( 0-12, 70.0)     1- 0   
 227 A Mesquite               AZ 2  East    ( 1-11, 80.3)    11-10   
 301 H Mesquite               AZ 2  East    ( 1-11, 80.3)    18- 6   
 306 A Hamilton               AZ 2  East    (11- 3, 93.0)     8-11   
 325 A Hamilton               AZ 2  East    (11- 3, 93.0)    11-14   
 329 H Salpointe Catholic     AZ 2  South   ( 9- 5, 90.4)     2- 5   
 404 A Mesquite               AZ 2  East    ( 1-11, 80.3)    10- 9   
 412 H Tucson Tanque Verde    AZ 2  South   (13- 2, 98.4)     5-18   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Horizon                 6- 9      -3    -4           1.43
   213 A Notre Dame Prep         8-15      -7   -16    +      3.00
   216 H Pinnacle                6-15      -9     3    ---  -12.92
   220 H Hamilton                5-13      -8    -9           1.12
   227 A Mesquite               11-10       1     3    -     -2.29
   301 H Mesquite               18- 6      12     3    +++    6.45
   306 A Hamilton                8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.38
   325 A Hamilton               11-14      -3    -9    +++    6.38
   329 H Salpointe Catholic      2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.51
   404 A Mesquite               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.29
   412 H Tucson Tanque Verde     5-18     -13   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Pinnacle                6-15      -9     3    ---  -12.92
   227 A Mesquite               11-10       1     3    -     -2.29
   404 A Mesquite               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.29


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Mesquite               18- 6      12     3    +++    6.45
   306 A Hamilton                8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.38
   325 A Hamilton               11-14      -3    -9    +++    6.38
   213 A Notre Dame Prep         8-15      -7   -16    +      3.00
   329 H Salpointe Catholic      2- 5      -3    -6    +      3.51




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.71 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.33 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0


  
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