Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2930756    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Agawam                 MA 2          ( 7-13, 77.3)    11- 1   
 408 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          (12- 8, 84.9)    12- 7   
 409 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          ( 5-11, 78.3)    12- 4   
 412 A Westborough            MA 2          (17- 3, 99.9)     9-12   
 414 A Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 8-13, 79.3)    16- 3   
 415 A West Springfield       MA 2          ( 1-16, 69.8)    16- 1   
 419 H Algonquin              MA 2          (13- 7, 94.8)     6- 4   
 422 A South Hadley           MA 2          ( 4-14, 79.0)     9- 8   
 430 A Northampton            MA 2          ( 9- 9, 84.5)    14- 5   
 506 H Longmeadow             MA 2          (21- 2, 99.9)     7-13   
 508 A Westfield              MA 2          (16- 5, 90.2)     7- 5   
 509 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (13- 7, 99.0)    11- 7   
 513 H South Hadley           MA 2          ( 4-14, 79.0)     8- 3   
 516 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          ( 5-11, 78.3)    12- 1   
 520 A Longmeadow             MA 2          (21- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 523 H Westfield              MA 2          (16- 5, 90.2)     8- 9   
 531 H Northampton            MA 2          ( 9- 9, 84.5)    10- 4   
 603 N Westfield              MA 2          (16- 5, 90.2)    13-10   
 607 N Longmeadow             MA 2          (21- 2, 99.9)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Agawam                 11- 1      10    14           0.00
   408 H East Longmeadow        12- 7       5     6          -1.98
   409 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   412 A Westborough             9-12      -3    -8          n/a  
   414 A Cathedral Springfield  16- 3      13    12           0.00
   415 A West Springfield       16- 1      15    22           0.00
   419 H Algonquin               6- 4       2    -2          n/a  
   422 A South Hadley            9- 8       1    12    ---   -9.00
   430 A Northampton            14- 5       9     7           1.60
   506 H Longmeadow              7-13      -6    -8    +      2.03
   508 A Westfield               7- 5       2     1           0.39
   509 A St Johns Shrewsbury    11- 7       4    -7          n/a  
   513 H South Hadley            8- 3       5    12    --    -5.00
   516 H Amherst-Pelham         12- 1      11    13           0.00
   520 A Longmeadow              3-16     -13    -8          -1.95
   523 H Westfield               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.63
   531 H Northampton            10- 4       6     7          -1.42
   603 N Westfield              13-10       3     1           1.38
   607 N Longmeadow              6-15      -9    -8          -0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A South Hadley            9- 8       1    12    ---   -9.00
   513 H South Hadley            8- 3       5    12    --    -5.00
   409 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   523 H Westfield               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A St Johns Shrewsbury    11- 7       4    -7    +++        
   412 A Westborough             9-12      -3    -8    ++         
   419 H Algonquin               6- 4       2    -2    ++         
   506 H Longmeadow              7-13      -6    -8    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.86 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.73 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.240.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
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