Conf =  Catholic                  Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Mazzei           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.5958557    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Newton South           MA 1          ( 4-16, 76.7)     6- 0   
 331 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (13- 7, 83.7)     8- 6   
 402 A Central Catholic       MA 2          (13- 8, 84.4)    12- 5   
 405 H Beverly                MA 1          ( 9-10, 78.4)    11- 3   
 408 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (16- 6, 94.9)     4-14   
 412 H Peabody                MA 1          (14- 6, 85.4)    14- 9   
 415 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 6-10, 84.6)     5- 7   
 417 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (10- 7, 89.1)    10- 5   
 426 H Xaverian               NY    Cathlc  ( 4-11, 80.2)    13- 2   
 429 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (18- 3, 96.7)     7-11   
 501 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (16- 6, 94.9)     7-17   
 503 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (12- 9, 86.1)     6- 7   
 506 A Arlington              MA 2          (16- 4, 88.7)     8-15   
 508 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 6-10, 84.6)    13-12   
 513 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (10- 7, 89.1)     4- 7   
 515 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (18- 3, 96.7)     5-15   
 519 H Haverhill              MA 1          ( 7-10, 78.4)     9- 4   
 522 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (13- 7, 99.0)    10- 9   
 528 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (12- 9, 86.1)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Newton South            6- 0       6    10    --    -4.00
   331 H Hamilton-Wenham         8- 6       2     3          -1.37
   402 A Central Catholic       12- 5       7     0    +++    6.13
   405 H Beverly                11- 3       8     8          -0.68
   408 H Xaverian Bros           4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.22
   412 H Peabody                14- 9       5     1    +      3.32
   415 A Catholic Memorial       5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.63
   417 H Boston College HS      10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.06
   426 H Xaverian               13- 2      11     7          n/a  
   429 H St Johns Prep Danvers   7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.61
   501 A Xaverian Bros           7-17     -10    -9          -0.36
   503 A Chelmsford              6- 7      -1     0          -0.11
   506 A Arlington               8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.56
   508 H Catholic Memorial      13-12       1     2          -1.49
   513 A Boston College HS       4- 7      -3    -3           0.92
   515 A St Johns Prep Danvers   5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   519 H Haverhill               9- 4       5     8    -     -3.67
   522 H St Johns Shrewsbury    10- 9       1   -11          n/a  
   528 A Chelmsford              8- 9      -1     0          -0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Newton South            6- 0       6    10    --    -4.00
   408 H Xaverian Bros           4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.22
   415 A Catholic Memorial       5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.63
   506 A Arlington               8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.56
   519 H Haverhill               9- 4       5     8    -     -3.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Central Catholic       12- 5       7     0    +++    6.13
   417 H Boston College HS      10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.06
   522 H St Johns Shrewsbury    10- 9       1   -11    +++        
   429 H St Johns Prep Danvers   7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.61
   412 H Peabody                14- 9       5     1    +      3.32
   426 H Xaverian               13- 2      11     7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.15 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.83 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    72
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/