Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Dan Helms             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2042999    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 5, 83.8)     3- 6   
 403 H St Mary's White        NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 7, 91.7)     2-10   
 421 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 5- 5, 92.0)     4- 5   
 422 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 2, 99.9)     5-14   
 424 A St Mary's Blue         NY I  Sec 6   ( 7- 3, 94.8)     0- 1   
 425 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     2-12   
 428 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     0-11   
 501 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.4)     8- 7 2o
 503 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 5, 83.8)     4- 5   
 505 H St Mary's Blue         NY I  Sec 6   ( 7- 3, 94.8)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Erie-Spears             3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.04
   403 H St Mary's White         2-10      -8    -7          -0.16
   421 A Genesee                 4- 5      -1    -8    +++    7.32
   422 A Kenmore East            5-14      -9   -16           1.00
   425 H Gow School              2-12     -10    -8          -1.03
   428 A Gow School              0-11     -11    -9          -0.87
   501 H Newfane                 8- 7 2o    1    -2    +      3.53
   503 H Erie-Spears             4- 5      -1     0          -1.04
   505 H St Mary's Blue          6- 7      -1   -10    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Erie-Spears             3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Genesee                 4- 5      -1    -8    +++    7.32
   505 H St Mary's Blue          6- 7      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   501 H Newfane                 8- 7 2o    1    -2    +      3.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.79 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.10 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/