Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Larry Thomas          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0079956    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Northern York Black    PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 6, 86.1)     1-11   
 329 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (18- 7, 92.6)     4-15   
 401 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL04    (12- 3, 88.6)     3-11   
 405 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 77.0)    10- 6   
 408 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 0-14, 67.0)    12- 2   
 412 A Lewisburg              PA    CSNLL   (10- 8, 76.1)    11- 2   
 415 H Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 71.4)     7- 4   
 417 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 8-12, 81.5)     6-12   
 422 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (14- 7, 90.1)     2- 7   
 426 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 9, 83.1)     5- 4   
 501 H Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   (13- 6, 89.4)     7-14   
 503 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 7, 85.5)     9-11   
 506 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (14- 5, 93.8)     5-11   
 508 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-15, 78.7)     6- 9   
 513 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 3-11, 77.3)     6- 5   
 515 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 9, 81.5)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Northern York Black     1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.45
   329 H Lampeter-Strasburg      4-15     -11   -11           0.00
   401 A Lancaster Cou Day       3-11      -8    -9           1.13
   405 H Bishop McDevitt        10- 6       4     3           0.34
   408 H Central Dauphin East   12- 2      10    13           0.00
   412 A Lewisburg              11- 2       9     3    ++     5.60
   415 H Harrisburg Academy      7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.27
   417 A Ephrata                 6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.04
   422 H Carlisle                2- 7      -5    -9    ++     4.47
   426 A Palmyra                 5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.60
   501 H Chambersburg            7-14      -7    -8           1.74
   503 A Hershey                 9-11      -2    -5    +      3.99
   506 A Cumberland Valley       5-11      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   508 H Conestoga Valley        6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.95
   513 A Elizabethtown           6- 5       1     2          -1.18
   515 A Central Dauphin         6- 7      -1    -1           0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Harrisburg Academy      7- 4       3     9    ---   -6.27
   417 A Ephrata                 6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.04
   508 H Conestoga Valley        6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.95
   325 A Northern York Black     1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Lewisburg              11- 2       9     3    ++     5.60
   422 H Carlisle                2- 7      -5    -9    ++     4.47
   426 A Palmyra                 5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.60
   506 A Cumberland Valley       5-11      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   503 A Hershey                 9-11      -2    -5    +      3.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.07 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.70 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/