Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Red Raiders          Coach  =   Burke Walker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0534668    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H North Middlesex        MA 2          ( 8-10, 87.6)    11- 5   
 402 H Masconomet             MA 2          (15- 6, 86.8)    10- 6   
 404 H Dracut                 MA 2          ( 2-16, 71.7)    14- 6   
 409 A Billerica              MA 1          (17- 5, 95.7)     8-15   
 412 H Central Catholic       MA 2          (13- 8, 84.4)     7- 6   
 415 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          (10- 9, 81.9)     6- 8   
 418 H Haverhill              MA 1          ( 7-10, 78.4)    14- 9   
 421 A Cape Henlopen          DE    Caphen  (18- 1, 94.7)     5-11   
 422 A Worcester Prep         MD    Indep   ( 9- 5, 93.7)     7- 9   
 425 H Hollis-Brookline       NH 3          (15- 3, 85.3)    12- 7   
 429 H Reading Memorial       MA 2          (18- 4, 90.2)    12- 2   
 502 A Dracut                 MA 2          ( 2-16, 71.7)     9- 7   
 505 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2          (10- 9, 81.9)     9- 2   
 507 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (12- 9, 86.1)     7- 6  o
 510 A Central Catholic       MA 2          (13- 8, 84.4)    10- 9   
 513 H Andover HS             MA 1          (14- 6, 91.6)     4- 8   
 515 A Haverhill              MA 1          ( 7-10, 78.4)    11- 9   
 519 H Westford Academy       MA 1          ( 7-10, 83.3)     9- 7   
 521 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1          (12- 9, 86.5)     4- 6   
 528 H Gloucester             MA 1          ( 9-10, 76.7)     8- 1   
 531 A Lexington HS           MA 1          (15- 5, 90.4)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H North Middlesex        11- 5       6     0          n/a  
   402 H Masconomet             10- 6       4     0    +      3.12
   404 H Dracut                 14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   409 A Billerica               8-15      -7    -9    +      2.81
   412 H Central Catholic        7- 6       1     3    -     -2.38
   415 A Tewksbury Memorial      6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.97
   418 H Haverhill              14- 9       5     9    --    -4.32
   421 A Cape Henlopen           5-11      -6    -8          n/a  
   422 A Worcester Prep          7- 9      -2    -7          n/a  
   425 H Hollis-Brookline       12- 7       5     2          n/a  
   429 H Reading Memorial       12- 2      10    -2    +++   12.46
   502 A Dracut                  9- 7       2    14    ---   -8.00
   505 H Tewksbury Memorial      9- 2       7     5           1.17
   507 H Chelmsford              7- 6  o    1     1          -0.62
   510 A Central Catholic       10- 9       1     1          -0.52
   513 H Andover HS              4- 8      -4    -3          -0.14
   515 A Haverhill              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.47
   519 H Westford Academy        9- 7       2     4    -     -2.46
   521 H Acton Boxborough        4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.18
   528 H Gloucester              8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00
   531 A Lexington HS            5-11      -6    -4          -1.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Dracut                  9- 7       2    14    ---   -8.00
   415 A Tewksbury Memorial      6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.97
   418 H Haverhill              14- 9       5     9    --    -4.32
   515 A Haverhill              11- 9       2     7    --    -5.47
   404 H Dracut                 14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   412 H Central Catholic        7- 6       1     3    -     -2.38
   519 H Westford Academy        9- 7       2     4    -     -2.46
   521 H Acton Boxborough        4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.18
   528 H Gloucester              8- 1       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Reading Memorial       12- 2      10    -2    +++   12.46
   331 H North Middlesex        11- 5       6     0    ++         
   422 A Worcester Prep          7- 9      -2    -7    ++         
   402 H Masconomet             10- 6       4     0    +      3.12
   409 A Billerica               8-15      -7    -9    +      2.81
   421 A Cape Henlopen           5-11      -6    -8    +          
   425 H Hollis-Brookline       12- 7       5     2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.80 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.05 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    68
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/