Region = OH 1  Reg 4            
   Nickname = H Firebirds            Coach  =   Dave Reed             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9597626    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   (19- 4, 94.7)     3-18   
 404 H Fenwick                OH 2  Reg 4   ( 9- 5, 90.4)    12- 8   
 411 H Loveland               OH 2  Reg 4   (19- 5, 98.3)     8-10   
 418 A Summit Country Day     OH 2  Reg 4   ( 4-14, 83.9)    20- 3   
 419 A Toledo St John's       OH 1  Reg 1   (12- 8, 87.9)     7-12   
 423 H Mason                  OH 1  Reg 4   (10- 6, 86.0)     7- 8  o
 425 H Mariemont              OH 2  Reg 4   (13- 6, 97.2)     6-13   
 430 A Cincinnati Indian Hill OH 1  Reg 4   (11- 7, 91.9)     9- 8   
 502 H Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   (19- 4, 94.7)     8-20   
 507 H Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg 4   (14- 8, 92.2)     8-18   
 509 H Kings                  OH 1  Reg 4   ( 3-11, 76.5)    13- 4   
 510 A Lakota East            OH 1  Reg 4   ( 0-11, 69.4)    13- 5   
 514 A Little Miami           OH 4  South   (14- 5, 87.6)    21- 8   
 516 H Turpin                 OH 2  Reg 4   (10- 6, 91.5)     9-11   
 521 H Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (13- 6, 91.9)     6-20   
 524 A Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   (19- 4, 94.7)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Cincinnati Sycamore     3-18     -15   -14           0.00
   404 H Fenwick                12- 8       4    -7          n/a  
   411 H Loveland                8-10      -2   -15          n/a  
   418 A Summit Country Day     20- 3      17    -3          n/a  
   419 A Toledo St John's        7-12      -5    -7    +      2.32
   423 H Mason                   7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.33
   425 H Mariemont               6-13      -7   -14          n/a  
   430 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  9- 8       1   -11    +++   11.00
   502 H Cincinnati Sycamore     8-20     -12   -12           0.00
   507 H Cincinnati St Xavier    8-18     -10    -9          -0.46
   509 H Kings                  13- 4       9     6    +      2.88
   510 A Lakota East            13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   514 A Little Miami           21- 8      13    -7          n/a  
   516 H Turpin                  9-11      -2    -8          n/a  
   521 H Archbishop Moeller      6-20     -14    -9          -0.68
   524 A Cincinnati Sycamore     2-15     -13   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Lakota East            13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Fenwick                12- 8       4    -7    +++        
   411 H Loveland                8-10      -2   -15    +++        
   418 A Summit Country Day     20- 3      17    -3    +++        
   430 A Cincinnati Indian Hill  9- 8       1   -11    +++   11.00
   514 A Little Miami           21- 8      13    -7    +++        
   516 H Turpin                  9-11      -2    -8    +++        
   419 A Toledo St John's        7-12      -5    -7    +      2.32
   423 H Mason                   7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.33
   425 H Mariemont               6-13      -7   -14    +          
   509 H Kings                  13- 4       9     6    +      2.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.62 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.29 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/