Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Bears                                                 

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.9559860    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 9, 83.1)     3- 5   
 401 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-15, 78.7)     8-11   
 403 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (17- 6, 92.8)     4-12   
 408 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL04    (12- 3, 88.6)     2- 6   
 411 A Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 9- 6, 87.7)     5-14   
 415 A Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 8-12, 81.5)     5- 9   
 422 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (19- 9, 93.0)     2-15   
 425 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 0-14, 67.0)    10- 6   
 501 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (18- 7, 92.6)     5-18   
 506 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 71.4)    11- 7   
 508 H Hempfield              PA    LL04    (13-12, 89.7)     2-13   
 509 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (12- 9, 87.6)     1- 8   
 513 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-10, 80.1)     5- 6   
 517 H Lewisburg              PA    CSNLL   (10- 8, 76.1)     5- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Palmyra                 3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.35
   401 H Conestoga Valley        8-11      -3     0    -     -2.20
   403 H Warwick                 4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
   408 A Lancaster Cou Day       2- 6      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   411 A Cocalico                5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   415 A Ephrata                 5- 9      -4    -4           0.71
   422 A Manheim Township        2-15     -13   -16           0.00
   425 A Central Dauphin East   10- 6       4     9    --    -5.74
   501 H Lampeter-Strasburg      5-18     -13   -14           0.00
   506 A Harrisburg Academy     11- 7       4     5          -1.38
   508 H Hempfield               2-13     -11   -11           0.00
   509 A Penn Manor              1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
   513 H Lower Dauphin           5- 6      -1    -2           1.18
   517 H Lewisburg               5- 3       2     1           0.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Central Dauphin East   10- 6       4     9    --    -5.74
   401 H Conestoga Valley        8-11      -3     0    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Lancaster Cou Day       2- 6      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   320 A Palmyra                 3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.35
   403 H Warwick                 4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
   509 A Penn Manor              1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.32 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.89 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/