Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Brian Martin          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.9544678    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Valley Regional        CT S          ( 7- 9, 66.2)    14- 5   
 408 A North Haven            CT M          ( 6-10, 69.6)     4- 5   
 410 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 6-10, 63.3)    14- 1   
 417 H Stonington             CT S          ( 7-11, 72.0)    15- 7   
 422 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 9- 8, 67.9)    14- 3   
 424 A Stonington             CT S          ( 7-11, 72.0)    16- 3   
 426 A Newington              CT L          ( 3-13, 67.7)    11- 5   
 430 A Old Lyme               CT S          (16- 1, 89.6)     4-18   
 506 H East Lyme              CT M          (16- 4, 86.6)     3-15   
 508 H Morgan-Clinton         CT S          ( 9- 7, 74.7)     9- 7   
 509 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 3-13, 60.6)    12- 2   
 512 H Waterford              CT S          ( 3-12, 65.3)    18- 9   
 513 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (11- 7, 78.8)     3-11   
 514 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 5-10, 66.9)    11- 6   
 516 N Waterford              CT S          ( 3-12, 65.3)     8- 6   
 519 A Guilford               CT M          (11- 8, 82.3)     6-11   
 521 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          (11- 7, 78.8)     8-10   
 531 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT M          (10- 7, 80.9)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Valley Regional        14- 5       9     9          -0.25
   408 A North Haven             4- 5      -1     5    ---   -6.81
   410 A Saint Bernard          14- 1      13    12           0.00
   417 H Stonington             15- 7       8     5    +      2.74
   422 A Woodstock Academy      14- 3      11     7    +      2.45
   424 A Stonington             16- 3      13     3    +++    6.58
   426 A Newington              11- 5       6     7          -1.74
   430 A Old Lyme                4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   506 H East Lyme               3-15     -12    -9          -0.65
   508 H Morgan-Clinton          9- 7       2     2          -0.64
   509 A Wheeler-No Stonington  12- 2      10    14           0.00
   512 H Waterford              18- 9       9    11          -1.00
   513 H Norwich Free Academy    3-11      -8    -1    ---   -6.47
   514 H Fitch-Groton           11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   516 N Waterford               8- 6       2    11    ---   -8.00
   519 A Guilford                6-11      -5    -6           1.84
   521 A Norwich Free Academy    8-10      -2    -3           1.37
   531 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       4- 8      -4    -3          -0.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A North Haven             4- 5      -1     5    ---   -6.81
   513 H Norwich Free Academy    3-11      -8    -1    ---   -6.47
   516 N Waterford               8- 6       2    11    ---   -8.00
   514 H Fitch-Groton           11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Stonington             16- 3      13     3    +++    6.58
   417 H Stonington             15- 7       8     5    +      2.74
   422 A Woodstock Academy      14- 3      11     7    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.37 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.14 Local SOS Rank.............    63
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/