Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1588745    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (16- 5, 96.6)    14- 3   
 314 A Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    (18- 1, 99.9)     9-16   
 318 H Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    ( 8-10, 87.5)    10- 7   
 320 A St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    (13- 6, 95.6)     4-15   
 322 H Severn                 MD A  MIAA    (11-10, 89.3)     8- 4   
 325 H Calvert Hall           MD A  MIAA    (15- 3, 98.8)     6-14   
 327 A St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     ( 8-12, 85.3)     9- 1   
 329 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (11- 7, 95.9)    10- 4   
 331 A Woodson                VA    Liberty ( 9- 7, 88.3)    10- 4   
 404 A St Albans              DC    IAC     (16- 5, 93.7)     6- 5  o
 407 A Oakton                 VA    Concord (13- 8, 90.5)    10- 5   
 410 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 7-12, 83.3)    14- 3   
 412 H Potomac School         DC    MAC     ( 8-10, 88.2)    18- 4   
 415 H Robinson               VA    Concord ( 8- 7, 87.8)    11- 3   
 418 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (13- 7, 87.4)     7- 2   
 421 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (15- 6, 96.8)    12- 7   
 425 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (18- 3, 98.0)     8- 9 4o
 430 A Langley                VA    Liberty (12- 4, 92.2)    10- 4   
 502 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (14- 5, 99.9)     9- 4   
 506 H Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 9- 8, 88.6)    10- 4   
 510 H St Albans              DC    IAC     (16- 5, 93.7)     8- 4   
 515 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     ( 8-12, 85.3)     5- 1   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  14- 3      11     0          n/a  
   314 A Gilman                  9-16      -7    -5          -1.06
   318 H Mount St Joseph        10- 7       3     8    --    -5.46
   320 A St Mary's Annapolis     4-15     -11    -1    ---   -8.33
   322 H Severn                  8- 4       4     6    -     -2.74
   325 H Calvert Hall            6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.25
   327 A St Stephen/St Agnes     9- 1       8     8          -0.61
   329 H St Marys Ryken         10- 4       6     0          n/a  
   331 A Woodson                10- 4       6     5          n/a  
   404 A St Albans               6- 5  o    1     0           0.79
   407 A Oakton                 10- 5       5     3          n/a  
   410 H Episcopal HS           14- 3      11    12           0.00
   412 H Potomac School         18- 4      14     7          n/a  
   415 H Robinson               11- 3       8     7          n/a  
   418 H Bullis                  7- 2       5     8    -     -3.55
   421 H Gonzaga                12- 7       5     0          n/a  
   425 A Georgetown Prep         8- 9 4o   -1    -4    +      3.09
   430 A Langley                10- 4       6     2          n/a  
   502 A DeMatha                 9- 4       5    -5          n/a  
   506 H Archbishop Spalding    10- 4       6     7          -1.43
   510 H St Albans               8- 4       4     2           1.75
   515 H St Stephen/St Agnes     5- 1       4    10    ---   -6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A St Mary's Annapolis     4-15     -11    -1    ---   -8.33
   515 H St Stephen/St Agnes     5- 1       4    10    ---   -6.00
   318 H Mount St Joseph        10- 7       3     8    --    -5.46
   325 H Calvert Hall            6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.25
   322 H Severn                  8- 4       4     6    -     -2.74
   418 H Bullis                  7- 2       5     8    -     -3.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  14- 3      11     0    +++        
   329 H St Marys Ryken         10- 4       6     0    +++        
   502 A DeMatha                 9- 4       5    -5    +++        
   421 H Gonzaga                12- 7       5     0    ++         
   412 H Potomac School         18- 4      14     7    +          
   425 A Georgetown Prep         8- 9 4o   -1    -4    +      3.09
   430 A Langley                10- 4       6     2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.98 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.52 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/