Conf =  Gibbs                     Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Colts                Coach  =   Kevin Kelly           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0703125    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Sparta                 NJ    Grp-II  (13- 5, 83.7)     9- 3   
 403 H Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 91.0)     4- 5   
 408 A Jefferson Twp          NJ    Grp-II  (18- 4, 88.6)    10- 8   
 410 H Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 8, 83.2)    11- 4   
 412 N Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (19- 2, 98.2)     7- 8  o
 414 A Westfield              NJ    Grp-III ( 3-16, 75.4)    11- 3   
 416 H Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (13- 9, 88.6)     7- 5   
 419 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (10- 7, 88.8)     7-13   
 422 A Montclair              NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9- 9, 85.7)     7-14   
 430 H Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp-I   (22- 1, 97.8)     7- 9   
 501 H Vernon Township        NJ    Grp-III ( 7- 8, 77.7)    12- 3   
 503 H Ramapo                 NJ    Grp-II  ( 5-13, 77.0)    12- 4   
 506 H Morristown             NJ    Grp-II  ( 7- 7, 79.7)    14- 5   
 508 A Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp-I   (22- 1, 97.8)     7-12   
 510 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   (17- 5, 89.8)    13-11   
 515 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (18- 4, 96.2)     5- 8   
 517 A Ridge                  NJ    Grp-III (10-10, 84.5)    13- 3   
 521 H Glen Rock              NJ    Grp-I   (13- 6, 81.0)    14- 4   
 524 A Summit                 NJ    Grp-I   (15- 6, 89.3)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Sparta                  9- 3       6     5           0.28
   403 H Madison Boro            4- 5      -1    -1           0.56
   408 A Jefferson Twp          10- 8       2    -1    +      3.37
   410 H Glen Ridge             11- 4       7     6           0.69
   412 N Lafayette               7- 8  o   -1    -9          n/a  
   414 A Westfield              11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   416 H Don Bosco Prep          7- 5       2     0           1.13
   419 H Bergen Catholic         7-13      -6     0    ---   -6.69
   422 A Montclair               7-14      -7     1    ---   -8.57
   430 H Mountain Lakes          7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.32
   501 H Vernon Township        12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   503 H Ramapo                 12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   506 H Morristown             14- 5       9     9          -0.73
   508 A Mountain Lakes          7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   510 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      13-11       2    -2    ++     4.56
   515 A Delbarton               5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.94
   517 A Ridge                  13- 3      10     2    +++    7.28
   521 H Glen Rock              14- 4      10     8           1.48
   524 A Summit                  3- 6      -3    -2          -0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Bergen Catholic         7-13      -6     0    ---   -6.69
   422 A Montclair               7-14      -7     1    ---   -8.57
   414 A Westfield              11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   503 H Ramapo                 12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 N Lafayette               7- 8  o   -1    -9    +++        
   430 H Mountain Lakes          7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.32
   517 A Ridge                  13- 3      10     2    +++    7.28
   508 A Mountain Lakes          7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   510 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      13-11       2    -2    ++     4.56
   515 A Delbarton               5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.94
   408 A Jefferson Twp          10- 8       2    -1    +      3.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.36 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.55 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    61
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/