Region = NY    Cath             
   Nickname = Y Firebirds            Coach  =   John Fechtmann        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9487762    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H St Anthony's           NY    Cath    (15- 4, 99.5)     6-15   
 327 H Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 9- 7, 84.7)    12- 5   
 402 H Long Beach             NY A  Sec 8   (14- 5, 96.3)     7-11   
 404 A St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 3-12, 80.3)     7- 6   
 405 H Fordham Prep           NY    Cathlc  (14-11, 90.4)     9- 1   
 408 H Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    (14- 7, 95.9)    10-11  o
 410 A Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   ( 8- 8, 88.8)     8-11   
 415 H St John Baptist        NY    Cath    ( 7-10, 88.4)     5- 6   
 424 H Chaminade              NY    Cath    (14- 4, 99.9)     6-13   
 425 A Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   (11- 8, 93.8)     3-12   
 429 A Chaminade              NY    Cath    (14- 4, 99.9)     3-15   
 501 A St Anthony's           NY    Cath    (15- 4, 99.5)     4-18   
 503 A Iona Prep              NY    Cathlc  (22- 4, 99.9)    12-11   
 506 N St John Baptist        NY    Cath    ( 7-10, 88.4)     9- 8   
 509 A Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    (14- 7, 95.9)     7-14   
 510 H Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (11- 8, 89.2)   
 513 H St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 3-12, 80.3)    15- 5   
 518 A St John Baptist        NY    Cath    ( 7-10, 88.4)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H St Anthony's            6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   327 H Locust Valley          12- 5       7     3          n/a  
   402 H Long Beach              7-11      -4    -8          n/a  
   404 A St Mary's               7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.21
   405 H Fordham Prep            9- 1       8    -1          n/a  
   408 H Holy Trinity           10-11  o   -1    -8    +++    7.25
   410 A Seaford                 8-11      -3    -1          n/a  
   415 H St John Baptist         5- 6      -1     0          -0.32
   424 H Chaminade               6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   425 A Hicksville              3-12      -9    -6          n/a  
   429 A Chaminade               3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   501 A St Anthony's            4-18     -14   -11           0.00
   503 A Iona Prep              12-11       1   -13          n/a  
   506 N St John Baptist         9- 8       1     0           1.77
   509 A Holy Trinity            7-14      -7    -8           1.44
   513 H St Mary's              15- 5      10     7    +      2.59
   518 A St John Baptist         6-10      -4     0    -     -3.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A St Mary's               7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.21
   425 A Hicksville              3-12      -9    -6    -          
   518 A St John Baptist         6-10      -4     0    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Fordham Prep            9- 1       8    -1    +++        
   408 H Holy Trinity           10-11  o   -1    -8    +++    7.25
   503 A Iona Prep              12-11       1   -13    +++        
   402 H Long Beach              7-11      -4    -8    ++         
   327 H Locust Valley          12- 5       7     3    +          
   424 H Chaminade               6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   513 H St Mary's              15- 5      10     7    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.59 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.76 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/