Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5608215    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 229 H Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 83.8)    15- 8   
 303 H Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 5-13, 73.6)    16- 7   
 311 A Holly Springs          NC    4A      (14- 3, 89.2)    15-11   
 314 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 5-16, 81.8)     4- 3   
 318 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (20- 2, 98.4)    10-17   
 319 N Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (15- 6, 96.8)     9-12   
 324 A Ravenscroft School     NC    Prvate  ( 5-11, 85.6)     4- 5   
 327 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.8)    15- 4   
 328 A Cary HS                NC    4A      (14- 5, 88.4)     5- 6   
 409 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (12- 5, 96.5)     6-12   
 411 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)    10-11  o
 416 H Broughton-Needham      NC    4A      ( 7- 8, 79.8)    17- 6   
 418 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 5-16, 81.8)     6- 4   
 422 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (20- 2, 98.4)     4-16   
 424 H Holy Cross-St Cath     CN    NRHSAA  (15- 1, 99.9)    11-16   
 425 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.8)    15- 4   
 429 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)     6- 5   
 506 H Holly Springs          NC    4A      (14- 3, 89.2)    11- 1   
 509 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (20- 2, 98.4)    11-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H Wilmington Laney       15- 8       7     4    +      2.65
   303 H Panther Creek          16- 7       9    14          -1.00
   311 A Holly Springs          15-11       4    -2    +++    6.69
   314 H Durham Riverside        4- 3       1     6    --    -5.32
   318 A Chapel Hill            10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
   319 N Gonzaga                 9-12      -3    -9          n/a  
   324 A Ravenscroft School      4- 5      -1     0          n/a  
   327 A Northern Durham        15- 4      11    14           0.00
   328 A Cary HS                 5- 6      -1    -1           0.83
   409 A Durham Academy          6-12      -6    -9          n/a  
   411 H East Chapel Hill       10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.63
   416 H Broughton-Needham      17- 6      11     8           1.70
   418 A Durham Riverside        6- 4       2     4    -     -2.73
   422 H Chapel Hill             4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   424 H Holy Cross-St Cath     11-16      -5   -11          n/a  
   425 H Northern Durham        15- 4      11    16           0.00
   429 A East Chapel Hill        6- 5       1    -6    +++    7.22
   506 H Holly Springs          11- 1      10    -1    +++   11.10
   509 A Chapel Hill            11-21     -10   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Durham Riverside        4- 3       1     6    --    -5.32
   418 A Durham Riverside        6- 4       2     4    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Holly Springs          15-11       4    -2    +++    6.69
   319 N Gonzaga                 9-12      -3    -9    +++        
   429 A East Chapel Hill        6- 5       1    -6    +++    7.22
   506 H Holly Springs          11- 1      10    -1    +++   11.10
   424 H Holy Cross-St Cath     11-16      -5   -11    ++         
   229 H Wilmington Laney       15- 8       7     4    +      2.65
   318 A Chapel Hill            10-17      -7   -11    +      3.00
   409 A Durham Academy          6-12      -6    -9    +          
   411 H East Chapel Hill       10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.35 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.95 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/