Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Jay Baehr             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   74.4320297    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (11- 9, 78.1)     8-17   
 403 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 67.1)    15- 9   
 405 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-12, 65.0)    12- 2   
 408 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (15- 6, 94.7)     1-24   
 409 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-11, 75.6)     6-13   
 429 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 70.6)     4-10   
 501 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.7)     0-23   
 505 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 78.1)     2-12   
 507 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 90.6)     3-15   
 508 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 79.3)     4-13   
 510 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-12, 65.0)     8-13   
 512 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)     4-15   
 513 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 67.1)     4- 7   
 515 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)     2-19   
 517 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-11, 75.6)     7-15   
 519 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 83.9)     1-15   
 521 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (17- 3, 90.3)     6-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Gowanda                 8-17      -9   -10           1.00
   403 H Lake Shore Central     15- 9       6     0    ++     5.74
   405 H Silver Creek           12- 2      10     2    +++    7.63
   408 A Niagara Wheatfield      1-24     -23   -28           0.00
   409 H Akron                   6-13      -7    -8           1.27
   429 H North Tonawanda         4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.79
   501 H Orchard Park            0-23     -23   -32           0.00
   505 A West Seneca West        2-12     -10   -12           0.00
   507 A Frontier                3-15     -12   -24           0.00
   508 H Lockport                4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   510 A Silver Creek            8-13      -5     0    --    -5.92
   512 H Clarence                4-15     -11   -19           0.00
   513 A Lake Shore Central      4- 7      -3    -1          -1.80
   515 A Williamsville North     2-19     -17   -17           0.00
   517 A Akron                   7-15      -8    -9           1.72
   519 A Lancaster               1-15     -14   -17           0.00
   521 H Salamanca               6-21     -15   -22           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Silver Creek            8-13      -5     0    --    -5.92
   429 H North Tonawanda         4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Silver Creek           12- 2      10     2    +++    7.63
   403 H Lake Shore Central     15- 9       6     0    ++     5.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.65 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.00 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -23.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/