Region = VA    Liberty          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Alex Gorman           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8939362    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Chantilly              VA    Concord (20- 0, 99.9)     3-16   
 326 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 6- 6, 81.2)     5-14   
 328 H Yorktown               VA    Nationl ( 8-10, 77.9)     6-10   
 331 A St Albans              DC    IAC     (16- 5, 93.7)     5-18   
 401 H Madison                VA    Liberty (10- 5, 90.8)    11-17   
 408 A Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty ( 4-10, 74.7)    14- 6   
 410 H South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 6- 7, 80.0)     7- 6   
 417 H Woodson                VA    Liberty ( 9- 7, 88.3)     6-12   
 424 A Marshall               VA    Liberty ( 0-12, 69.5)    11- 8   
 426 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 8-13, 88.8)     6-11   
 502 A Langley                VA    Liberty (12- 4, 92.2)     5-14   
 505 A South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 6- 7, 80.0)    11- 7   
 507 N Woodson                VA    Liberty ( 9- 7, 88.3)     3- 9   
 513 A Annandale              VA    Patriot (15- 4, 89.2)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Chantilly               3-16     -13   -22           0.00
   326 A McLean                  5-14      -9    -3    --    -5.56
   328 H Yorktown                6-10      -4     0    --    -4.83
   331 A St Albans               5-18     -13   -16          n/a  
   401 H Madison                11-17      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   408 A Stone Bridge           14- 6       8     3    ++     4.99
   410 H South Lakes             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.18
   417 H Woodson                 6-12      -6    -9    +      3.54
   424 A Marshall               11- 8       3     8    --    -5.25
   426 A Bishop Ireton           6-11      -5   -11          n/a  
   502 A Langley                 5-14      -9   -14           1.00
   505 A South Lakes            11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.22
   507 N Woodson                 3- 9      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   513 A Annandale               8-11      -3   -11    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A McLean                  5-14      -9    -3    --    -5.56
   328 H Yorktown                6-10      -4     0    --    -4.83
   424 A Marshall               11- 8       3     8    --    -5.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A South Lakes            11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.22
   513 A Annandale               8-11      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   401 H Madison                11-17      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   408 A Stone Bridge           14- 6       8     3    ++     4.99
   426 A Bishop Ireton           6-11      -5   -11    ++         
   507 N Woodson                 3- 9      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   410 H South Lakes             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.18
   417 H Woodson                 6-12      -6    -9    +      3.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.25 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.33 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/