Conf =  Rizk                      Region = NJ    Grp-II           
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Harry Shortway        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2134781    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Pope John XXIII        NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-10, 75.2)     8- 2   
 405 A Lawrence               NJ    Grp-II  ( 3-11, 64.6)    15- 2   
 408 H Kinnelon               NJ    Grp-I   (11- 8, 88.4)     8-10   
 410 H Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (10- 9, 93.7)    12- 1   
 412 A Montville              NJ    Grp-II  (12- 8, 79.9)    10- 3   
 415 H Sparta                 NJ    Grp-II  (13- 5, 83.7)     6- 3   
 417 H Fair Lawn              NJ    Grp-III (16- 6, 82.6)    15- 9   
 421 A Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 8, 83.2)     7- 8   
 423 A Glen Rock              NJ    Grp-I   (13- 6, 81.0)     8- 4   
 426 H Clifton                NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6- 9, 71.8)    14- 1   
 428 H New Providence         NJ    Grp-I   ( 2-14, 64.3)    16- 2   
 430 H Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 2-16, 66.3)    14- 0   
 502 A Montclair Kim Acad     NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-10, 76.8)    10- 3   
 506 H Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   (13- 7, 87.4)     7-11   
 507 H Boonton                NJ    Grp-I   ( 5-12, 73.5)     8- 3   
 509 A Millburn               NJ    Grp-II  ( 8-11, 73.5)    15- 1   
 512 A Nutley                 NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 74.3)    13- 3   
 514 H Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  (10-13, 84.0)     7- 4   
 517 H St Joseph Montvale     NJ    Grp-B   ( 4-15, 67.1)    17- 0   
 521 H Montville              NJ    Grp-II  (12- 8, 79.9)    14- 2   
 524 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (14- 3, 85.5)    18-11   
 527 A West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-II  (17- 4, 91.0)     8-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Pope John XXIII         8- 2       6    12    --    -4.00
   405 A Lawrence               15- 2      13    22           0.00
   408 H Kinnelon                8-10      -2     1    -     -3.37
   410 H Warwick Valley         12- 1      11    -4          n/a  
   412 A Montville              10- 3       7     7          -0.60
   415 H Sparta                  6- 3       3     5    -     -2.98
   417 H Fair Lawn              15- 9       6     7          -1.10
   421 A Glen Ridge              7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.37
   423 A Glen Rock               8- 4       4     6    -     -2.57
   426 H Clifton                14- 1      13    17           0.00
   428 H New Providence         16- 2      14    25           0.00
   430 H Blair Academy          14- 0      14    23           0.00
   502 A Montclair Kim Acad     10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   506 H Morristown Beard        7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.29
   507 H Boonton                 8- 3       5    16    --    -5.00
   509 A Millburn               15- 1      14    13           0.00
   512 A Nutley                 13- 3      10    13           0.00
   514 H Bridgewater-Raritan     7- 4       3     5    -     -2.72
   517 H St Joseph Montvale     17- 0      17    22           0.00
   521 H Montville              14- 2      12     9           0.19
   524 H Red Bank Regional      18-11       7     4    +      2.81
   527 A West Morris Central     8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Morristown Beard        7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.29
   402 A Pope John XXIII         8- 2       6    12    --    -4.00
   421 A Glen Ridge              7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.37
   507 H Boonton                 8- 3       5    16    --    -5.00
   527 A West Morris Central     8-17      -9    -3    --    -5.47
   408 H Kinnelon                8-10      -2     1    -     -3.37
   415 H Sparta                  6- 3       3     5    -     -2.98
   423 A Glen Rock               8- 4       4     6    -     -2.57
   502 A Montclair Kim Acad     10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   514 H Bridgewater-Raritan     7- 4       3     5    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Warwick Valley         12- 1      11    -4    +++        
   524 H Red Bank Regional      18-11       7     4    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.62 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.80 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/