Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY B  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Paul McDermott        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4250565    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)     5- 7   
 326 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 80.6)    13-12 2o
 329 H Cold Spring Harbor     NY C  Sec 8   (15- 4, 96.0)     5- 9   
 402 A East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 80.5)     8- 6   
 404 H Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (18- 3, 96.5)     4-20   
 408 A Shoreham-Wading River  NY B  Sec 11  (13- 5, 91.7)     6-16   
 410 A Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 79.7)     6- 4   
 416 H Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (15- 5, 93.5)     2-15   
 418 H Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  (21- 1, 98.5)     4-17   
 424 H Southampton            NY C  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 64.4)    15- 4   
 430 H McGann-Mercy           NY C  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 69.2)    15- 4   
 502 A Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  ( 6-12, 82.6)     5- 2   
 506 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (12- 5, 90.4)     5-13   
 508 A Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.4)     5- 9   
 510 H Westhampton Beach      NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.9)    14-10   
 514 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.8)     7-11   
 520 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.3)     7- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Smithtown East          5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.24
   326 A West Babylon           13-12 2o    1     1          -0.46
   329 H Cold Spring Harbor      5- 9      -4   -13          n/a  
   402 A East Hampton            8- 6       2     1           0.38
   404 H Mount Sinai             4-20     -16   -13           0.00
   408 A Shoreham-Wading River   6-16     -10    -9          -0.35
   410 A Bayport-Blue Point      6- 4       2     2          -0.36
   416 H Comsewogue              2-15     -13   -10           0.00
   418 H Rocky Point             4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   424 H Southampton            15- 4      11    18           0.00
   430 H McGann-Mercy           15- 4      11    13           0.00
   502 A Babylon                 5- 2       3     0    +      3.56
   506 H Sayville                5-13      -8    -7          -0.42
   508 A Kings Park              5- 9      -4    -4           0.31
   510 H Westhampton Beach      14-10       4     3           0.15
   514 A Hauppauge               7-11      -4    -5           1.70
   520 A Eastport/South Manor    7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Cold Spring Harbor      5- 9      -4   -13    +++        
   317 H Smithtown East          5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.24
   520 A Eastport/South Manor    7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.21
   502 A Babylon                 5- 2       3     0    +      3.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.44 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.71 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/