Region = TN 1  West             
   Nickname = N Mustangs             Coach  =   Ed Reynolds           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0905075    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Mountain Brook         AL            ( 9- 7, 90.1)    13- 5   
 302 H Birmingham-Hoover      AL            (15- 2, 99.9)    11-10   
 312 A Collierville           TN 2  West    ( 3- 5, 79.3)    17- 3   
 325 A St George's            TN 2  West    ( 8- 5, 84.8)    19- 4   
 326 H Liberty-Olentangy      OH 1  Reg 2   ( 3-15, 77.7)    16- 4   
 329 A Montgomery Bell Acad   TN 1  East    ( 8- 6, 90.2)     6- 8   
 330 A Ravenwood              TN 1  East    ( 7- 9, 85.6)     9-11   
 402 H Christian Bros         TN 1  West    (12- 6, 90.1)    12- 8   
 405 H Franklin               TN 1  West    ( 8- 6, 89.3)    13-12   
 408 H Lausanne Collegiate    TN 2  West    ( 2- 9, 71.5)    25- 4   
 412 H Farragut               TN 1  East    ( 5- 9, 81.9)    10- 7   
 414 H Univ School Nashville  TN 1  West    ( 9- 6, 87.1)     8- 7   
 416 H Memphis Univ School    TN 1  West    (13- 2, 98.3)     8-11   
 423 A Christian Bros         TN 1  West    (12- 6, 90.1)    11- 9   
 425 A Memphis Univ School    TN 1  West    (13- 2, 98.3)     5-20   
 502 H Ravenwood              TN 1  East    ( 7- 9, 85.6)    13- 2   
 510 N McCallie               TN 1  East    (13- 2, 99.9)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Mountain Brook         13- 5       8     0          n/a  
   302 H Birmingham-Hoover      11-10       1    -8          n/a  
   312 A Collierville           17- 3      14    10          n/a  
   325 A St George's            19- 4      15     4          n/a  
   326 H Liberty-Olentangy      16- 4      12    13          n/a  
   329 A Montgomery Bell Acad    6- 8      -2     0          -1.27
   330 A Ravenwood               9-11      -2     3    --    -5.78
   402 H Christian Bros         12- 8       4     1    +      2.81
   405 H Franklin               13-12       1     1          -0.98
   408 H Lausanne Collegiate    25- 4      21    19          n/a  
   412 H Farragut               10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.39
   414 H Univ School Nashville   8- 7       1     4    -     -3.16
   416 H Memphis Univ School     8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.02
   423 A Christian Bros         11- 9       2     0    +      2.66
   425 A Memphis Univ School     5-20     -15    -8          -1.12
   502 H Ravenwood              13- 2      11     5    ++     4.37
   510 N McCallie                3-14     -11    -9          -0.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Farragut               10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.39
   330 A Ravenwood               9-11      -2     3    --    -5.78
   414 H Univ School Nashville   8- 7       1     4    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Mountain Brook         13- 5       8     0    +++        
   302 H Birmingham-Hoover      11-10       1    -8    +++        
   325 A St George's            19- 4      15     4    ++         
   416 H Memphis Univ School     8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.02
   502 H Ravenwood              13- 2      11     5    ++     4.37
   402 H Christian Bros         12- 8       4     1    +      2.81
   423 A Christian Bros         11- 9       2     0    +      2.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.35 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.15 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/