Region = VA    RALL             
   Nickname = A Heat                 Coach  =   Ed Stabile            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4169388    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 A Matoaca LC             VA    Indep   ( 9- 1, 84.1)     9- 4   
 320 H Patrick Henry LC       VA    RALL    ( 8- 7, 84.1)     9- 7   
 401 H Douglas Freeman LC     VA    RALL    (11- 5, 87.3)     3- 4   
 408 H West End LC            VA    RALL    ( 3-11, 75.9)     8- 6   
 410 A Deep Run LC            VA    RALL    (13- 2, 94.2)     4-14   
 415 A Patrick Henry LC       VA    RALL    ( 8- 7, 84.1)     6-12   
 418 H Spotsylvania LC        VA    RALL    (11- 6, 85.8)     5- 7   
 501 A West End LC            VA    RALL    ( 3-11, 75.9)     7- 8   
 503 H Weaver LC              VA    RALL    ( 5- 6, 82.3)    14- 2   
 506 H Deep Run LC            VA    RALL    (13- 2, 94.2)     5- 9   
 508 H Godwin LC              VA    RALL    ( 1- 9, 74.4)    13- 4   
 512 A James River LC         VA    RALL    ( 4- 5, 83.3)   
 513 A Douglas Freeman LC     VA    RALL    (11- 5, 87.3)     4- 7   
 515 A Douglas Freeman LC     VA    RALL    (11- 5, 87.3)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Matoaca LC              9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.70
   320 H Patrick Henry LC        9- 7       2    -1    +      3.82
   401 H Douglas Freeman LC      3- 4      -1    -5    ++     4.04
   408 H West End LC             8- 6       2     6    --    -4.35
   410 A Deep Run LC             4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   415 A Patrick Henry LC        6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.26
   418 H Spotsylvania LC         5- 7      -2    -3           1.46
   501 A West End LC             7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.44
   503 H Weaver LC              14- 2      12     0    +++    9.97
   506 H Deep Run LC             5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   508 H Godwin LC              13- 4       9     7           1.09
   513 A Douglas Freeman LC      4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.96
   515 A Douglas Freeman LC      4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A West End LC             7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.44
   408 H West End LC             8- 6       2     6    --    -4.35
   415 A Patrick Henry LC        6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.26
   515 A Douglas Freeman LC      4-12      -8    -5    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Matoaca LC              9- 4       5    -2    +++    7.70
   503 H Weaver LC              14- 2      12     0    +++    9.97
   506 H Deep Run LC             5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   401 H Douglas Freeman LC      3- 4      -1    -5    ++     4.04
   320 H Patrick Henry LC        9- 7       2    -1    +      3.82
   513 A Douglas Freeman LC      4- 7      -3    -5    +      2.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.84 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.02 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/