Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Nils Haugen           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0007782    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.4)    19-16   
 329 H Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   ( 8-10, 91.8)    12- 9   
 401 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.3)    12- 7   
 403 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)    10- 9   
 409 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.4)    18- 5   
 411 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     8-17   
 415 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 76.6)    16- 3   
 417 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)    14-16   
 419 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 82.8)    14- 7   
 423 H Bellport               NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.5)    12- 3   
 429 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)    11- 9   
 501 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)    15- 7   
 507 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.1)    12- 6   
 509 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 75.0)    12- 5   
 513 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (19- 1, 98.7)     6-12   
 515 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 80.6)    15- 7   
 519 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 90.8)     9- 8   
 528 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Kings Park             19-16       3     7    --    -4.10
   329 H Baldwin                12- 9       3     1          n/a  
   401 H East Islip             12- 7       5     5          -0.23
   403 A Smithtown East         10- 9       1     2          -1.76
   409 H Longwood               18- 5      13    17           0.00
   411 A West Islip              8-17      -9    -7          -1.89
   415 A Sachem North           16- 3      13    16           0.00
   417 H Lindenhurst            14-16      -2     0    -     -2.45
   419 A Half Hollow Hills East 14- 7       7     9    -     -2.95
   423 H Bellport               12- 3       9     8           0.02
   429 A Smithtown West         11- 9       2     1           0.65
   501 H Sachem East            15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   507 A Northport              12- 6       6     6          -0.66
   509 A Commack                12- 5       7    17    -     -3.00
   513 H Ward Melville           6-12      -6    -5          -0.81
   515 A West Babylon           15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   519 H William Floyd           9- 8       1     2          -1.73
   528 H Lindenhurst             8-11      -3     0    -     -3.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Kings Park             19-16       3     7    --    -4.10
   417 H Lindenhurst            14-16      -2     0    -     -2.45
   419 A Half Hollow Hills East 14- 7       7     9    -     -2.95
   501 H Sachem East            15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   509 A Commack                12- 5       7    17    -     -3.00
   515 A West Babylon           15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   528 H Lindenhurst             8-11      -3     0    -     -3.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.14 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.60 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/