Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Mike Bongino          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1824341    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Plainedge              NY B  Sec 8   (13- 6, 93.5)     6- 3   
 325 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.3)     8- 9  o
 401 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)     3-13   
 403 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.3)     7-12   
 409 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.1)    10- 3   
 411 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 70.8)     9- 3   
 414 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)     5-10   
 417 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)     6- 7   
 419 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.1)     7-14   
 423 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 429 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 90.1)     9-10   
 501 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.8)     8-14   
 507 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 77.0)    14- 7   
 509 H Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 76.6)    13-10   
 513 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.9)     9- 7   
 515 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     9-12   
 519 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.4)    11- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Plainedge               6- 3       3   -10          n/a  
   325 H East Islip              8- 9  o   -1    -5    ++     4.07
   401 A Lindenhurst             3-13     -10   -10           0.00
   403 H Connetquot              7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   409 A North Babylon          10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   411 A Brentwood               9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   414 H Smithtown East          5-10      -5    -6           1.84
   417 H Sachem East             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.47
   419 H Half Hollow Hills West  7-14      -7    -9    +      2.95
   423 H West Islip              3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   429 A Bay Shore               9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.65
   501 A Middle Country          8-14      -6    -5          -0.73
   507 H Patchogue-Medford      14- 7       7     6           0.78
   509 H Deer Park              13-10       3     6    -     -3.61
   513 A Copiague                9- 7       2     2          -0.63
   515 H Smithtown West          9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.25
   519 A Riverhead              11- 7       4     3           0.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Brentwood               9- 3       6    11    --    -4.00
   403 H Connetquot              7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   409 A North Babylon          10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   417 H Sachem East             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.47
   509 H Deer Park              13-10       3     6    -     -3.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Plainedge               6- 3       3   -10    +++        
   429 A Bay Shore               9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.65
   325 H East Islip              8- 9  o   -1    -5    ++     4.07
   515 H Smithtown West          9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.25
   419 H Half Hollow Hills West  7-14      -7    -9    +      2.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.84 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.20 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/