Region = PA    LL04             
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Doug Bailey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.7575836    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H LaSalle College HS     PA    Cathol  (31- 2, 97.8)     7-14   
 319 H Central Catholic       PA    1DNORTH ( 8- 9, 92.5)     7- 8  o
 325 H Ephrata                PA    LL04    ( 8-12, 81.5)    14- 0   
 327 A Penn Manor             PA    LL04    (12- 9, 87.6)    12- 5   
 329 H Easton                 PA    PVLL-LV (14- 5, 86.9)    10-11  o
 401 H Conestoga              PA    Centrl  (14- 8, 90.5)     1- 6   
 404 H Mercersburg Academy    PA    Indep   ( 2-12, 72.5)    12- 3   
 408 H Bishop Shanahan        PA    Suburb  ( 9- 9, 83.3)     9- 8 2o
 411 A Garnet Valley          PA    DelVal  (16- 7, 89.8)     3- 8   
 415 H Downingtown East       PA    Suburb  (14- 7, 93.3)     2-13   
 417 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL04    ( 4-15, 78.7)    12- 3   
 419 A Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 9- 6, 87.7)    13- 3   
 422 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (14- 5, 93.8)     7- 5   
 424 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL04    (18- 7, 92.6)    12- 4   
 426 A McDonogh               MD A  MIAA    (16- 6, 95.3)     3-10   
 429 H Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (19- 9, 93.0)     8-10   
 502 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (14- 7, 90.1)    10- 9   
 506 H Warwick                PA    LL04    (17- 6, 92.8)     9-11   
 508 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL04    ( 3-11, 77.3)    13- 2   
 510 H Hill School            PA    Indep   (11- 5, 90.4)     7- 8   
 513 H Cocalico               PA    LL04    ( 9- 6, 87.7)    12- 1   
 515 A Warwick                PA    LL04    (17- 6, 92.8)     6- 9   
 521 H Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   (13- 6, 89.4)    15- 5   
 523 A Manheim Township       PA    LL04    (19- 9, 93.0)     4- 5   
 530 N Susquehannock          PA    York 1  (19- 1, 99.9)    11- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H LaSalle College HS      7-14      -7    -7          n/a  
   319 H Central Catholic        7- 8  o   -1    -2          n/a  
   325 H Ephrata                14- 0      14     8           1.16
   327 A Penn Manor             12- 5       7     1    ++     5.44
   329 H Easton                 10-11  o   -1     3          n/a  
   401 H Conestoga               1- 6      -5     0          n/a  
   404 H Mercersburg Academy    12- 3       9    18          n/a  
   408 H Bishop Shanahan         9- 8 2o    1     7          n/a  
   411 A Garnet Valley           3- 8      -5     0          n/a  
   415 H Downingtown East        2-13     -11    -2          n/a  
   417 H Conestoga Valley       12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   419 A Cocalico               13- 3      10     1    +++    8.51
   422 A Cumberland Valley       7- 5       2    -4    +++    6.60
   424 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 4       8    -2    +++   10.34
   426 A McDonogh                3-10      -7    -6          n/a  
   429 H Manheim Township        8-10      -2    -2           0.70
   502 H Carlisle               10- 9       1     0           0.82
   506 H Warwick                 9-11      -2    -2           0.55
   508 A Elizabethtown          13- 2      11    11           0.00
   510 H Hill School             7- 8      -1     0          n/a  
   513 H Cocalico               12- 1      11     2    +++    7.37
   515 A Warwick                 6- 9      -3    -3           0.70
   521 H Chambersburg           15- 5      10     0    +++    9.09
   523 A Manheim Township        4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.84
   530 N Susquehannock          11- 7       4   -10    +++   14.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Bishop Shanahan         9- 8 2o    1     7    ---        
   415 H Downingtown East        2-13     -11    -2    ---        
   329 H Easton                 10-11  o   -1     3    --         
   401 H Conestoga               1- 6      -5     0    --         
   411 A Garnet Valley           3- 8      -5     0    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Cocalico               13- 3      10     1    +++    8.51
   422 A Cumberland Valley       7- 5       2    -4    +++    6.60
   424 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 4       8    -2    +++   10.34
   513 H Cocalico               12- 1      11     2    +++    7.37
   521 H Chambersburg           15- 5      10     0    +++    9.09
   530 N Susquehannock          11- 7       4   -10    +++   14.00
   327 A Penn Manor             12- 5       7     1    ++     5.44
   523 A Manheim Township        4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.72 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.85 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   25.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/