Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.8300476    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Tolland                CT S          ( 7-10, 69.9)     6- 2   
 408 H Somers                 CT S          (14- 7, 79.3)     4- 6   
 411 H Suffield HS            CT S          (10- 8, 75.2)     8- 7   
 415 A Avon HS                CT M          (12- 6, 80.5)     6- 8   
 416 A Lewis Mills-Burlington CT S          ( 8- 9, 65.9)    16- 1   
 419 H Rockville              CT M          ( 4-12, 65.1)    10- 3   
 421 H Ellington              CT S          ( 6-10, 67.3)    12- 2   
 430 A Tolland                CT S          ( 7-10, 69.9)     9- 8  o
 501 A Windsor                CT L          (10- 8, 78.8)     5-12   
 505 A Newington              CT L          ( 3-13, 67.7)     9- 4   
 507 H Farmington             CT M          (11- 7, 77.6)     7-13   
 510 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          (12- 7, 80.8)     2-10   
 512 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 9- 8, 67.9)     8- 5   
 515 A Norwich Tech           CT S          ( 0-13, 48.2)    17- 0   
 520 A East Catholic          CT S          ( 1-15, 58.1)    14- 2   
 522 H Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 4-12, 65.4)     7- 3   
 528 A Avon HS                CT M          (12- 6, 80.5)     5-13   
 531 H Barlow-Redding         CT S          ( 8-10, 77.5)     7- 6  o
 603 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (12- 8, 83.5)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Tolland                 6- 2       4     6    -     -2.48
   408 H Somers                  4- 6      -2    -2           0.92
   411 H Suffield HS             8- 7       1     1          -0.19
   415 A Avon HS                 6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.94
   416 A Lewis Mills-Burlington 16- 1      15     8           1.30
   419 H Rockville              10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00
   421 H Ellington              12- 2      10     9           0.84
   430 A Tolland                 9- 8  o    1     4    -     -3.64
   501 A Windsor                 5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.81
   505 A Newington               9- 4       5     6          -1.87
   507 H Farmington              7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.79
   510 A Northwest Catholic      2-10      -8    -6          -1.81
   512 A Woodstock Academy       8- 5       3     6    -     -3.68
   515 A Norwich Tech           17- 0      17    26           0.00
   520 A East Catholic          14- 2      12    16           0.00
   522 H Housatonic Valley       7- 3       4    11    ---   -6.00
   528 A Avon HS                 5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.06
   531 H Barlow-Redding          7- 6  o    1    -1    +      2.06
   603 H St Joseph-Trumbull      4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Housatonic Valley       7- 3       4    11    ---   -6.00
   507 H Farmington              7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.79
   402 H Tolland                 6- 2       4     6    -     -2.48
   419 H Rockville              10- 3       7    11    -     -3.00
   430 A Tolland                 9- 8  o    1     4    -     -3.64
   501 A Windsor                 5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.81
   512 A Woodstock Academy       8- 5       3     6    -     -3.68
   528 A Avon HS                 5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.06
   603 H St Joseph-Trumbull      4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Avon HS                 6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.94
   531 H Barlow-Redding          7- 6  o    1    -1    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.50 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.50 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/