Fort Erie                     1 - 5


 
                                     Region = CN    NRHSAA           
   Nickname = N Falcons                                               



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.3107300    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 422 N Governor Simcoe        CN    NRHSAA  ( 3- 4, 77.6)     5- 8   
 422 N Notre Dame Welland     CN    NRHSAA  ( 8- 4, 92.5)     0- 9   
 429 N Eden                   CN    NRHSAA  ( 5- 2, 87.4)     7-10   
 429 N West Park              CN    NRHSAA  ( 5- 6, 83.0)     5- 9   
 513 N Lakeshore Catholic     CN    NRHSAA  ( 4- 4, 87.5)     0-19   
 513 N St Catharine C.I.      CN    NRHSAA  ( 0- 6, 68.6)     7- 5   
 520 A Governor Simcoe        CN    NRHSAA  ( 3- 4, 77.6)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 N Governor Simcoe         5- 8      -3    -3           0.80
   422 N Notre Dame Welland      0- 9      -9   -18           1.00
   429 N Eden                    7-10      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   429 N West Park               5- 9      -4    -9    ++     5.25
   513 N Lakeshore Catholic      0-19     -19   -13           0.00
   513 N St Catharine C.I.       7- 5       2     5    -     -3.20


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 N St Catharine C.I.       7- 5       2     5    -     -3.20


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 N Eden                    7-10      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   429 N West Park               5- 9      -4    -9    ++     5.25




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.76 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.35 Local SOS Rank.............    55
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    75
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   118
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0


  
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