Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Stack           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7352753    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (10- 9, 85.2)     4- 2   
 404 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.6)     7- 1   
 408 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 93.2)    11- 9   
 410 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (19- 3, 99.7)     7-12   
 422 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 70.6)     9- 2   
 426 A Newark                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-12, 73.3)    15- 3   
 428 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 79.3)    15- 3   
 502 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 8, 86.6)    12- 7   
 505 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 83.9)    14- 4   
 507 H Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 66.7)    15- 3   
 509 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 82.9)     6- 7   
 510 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 87.0)     3- 7   
 513 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-13, 78.1)    14- 3   
 515 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (15- 6, 94.7)    11-13   
 517 A Brockport Central      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 82.4)     8- 5   
 519 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     8-13   
 522 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 6, 88.1)     8- 5   
 530 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 83.9)    13- 6   
 603 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (15- 6, 94.7)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Sweet Home              4- 2       2     6    --    -4.20
   404 A West Seneca East        7- 1       6     2    +      3.68
   408 H Amherst                11- 9       2    -1    +      3.79
   410 A Orchard Park            7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.75
   422 H North Tonawanda         9- 2       7    20    -     -3.00
   426 A Newark                 15- 3      12    16          n/a  
   428 H Lockport               15- 3      12    12           0.00
   502 H Clarence               12- 7       5     4           0.19
   505 A Lancaster              14- 4      10     6    +      3.98
   507 H Jamestown              15- 3      12    24           0.00
   509 A Williamsville North     6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.98
   510 A Pittsford               3- 7      -4     2          n/a  
   513 A West Seneca West       14- 3      11    11           0.00
   515 H Niagara Wheatfield     11-13      -2    -3           1.37
   517 A Brockport Central       8- 5       3     7          n/a  
   519 A Hamburg                 8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.99
   522 A Williamsville East      8- 5       3     1           1.14
   530 H Lancaster              13- 6       7     7          -0.47
   603 A Niagara Wheatfield      9-14      -5    -4          -0.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Williamsville North     6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.98
   510 A Pittsford               3- 7      -4     2    ---        
   401 H Sweet Home              4- 2       2     6    --    -4.20
   517 A Brockport Central       8- 5       3     7    --         
   422 H North Tonawanda         9- 2       7    20    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Orchard Park            7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.75
   519 A Hamburg                 8-13      -5    -9    ++     4.99
   404 A West Seneca East        7- 1       6     2    +      3.68
   408 H Amherst                11- 9       2    -1    +      3.79
   505 A Lancaster              14- 4      10     6    +      3.98
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.64 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.23 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/