Region = VA    Cedar            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Reed Gillespie        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5691376    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Cedar   ( 2-12, 78.9)    15- 2   
 410 A Culpeper HS            VA    Cedar   ( 1-13, 79.4)    14- 8   
 412 N Loudoun Valley         VA    Cedar   (15- 6, 95.0)     7- 8  o
 414 A Battlefield            VA    Cedar   ( 9- 6, 90.8)     8- 3   
 417 H Osbourn Park           VA    Cedar   (13- 5, 96.6)     7-12   
 419 H Charlottesville        VA    Jeffsn  ( 6- 7, 87.3)    17- 8   
 424 H Osbourn                VA    Cedar   (12- 4, 95.6)     9- 7   
 426 A Stonewall Jackson      VA    Cedar   ( 4- 9, 83.2)    12- 0   
 429 A Mountain View          VA    Comw    ( 3-12, 84.4)    11- 7   
 430 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Cedar   ( 2-12, 78.9)     9- 4   
 501 A Loudoun Valley         VA    Cedar   (15- 6, 95.0)     7- 6   
 505 H Culpeper HS            VA    Cedar   ( 1-13, 79.4)    12- 2   
 510 N Loudoun Valley         VA    Cedar   (15- 6, 95.0)     5-11   
 514 H Culpeper HS            VA    Cedar   ( 1-13, 79.4)    15- 1   
 515 N Osbourn Park           VA    Cedar   (13- 5, 96.6)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Liberty-Bealeton       15- 2      13    18           0.00
   410 A Culpeper HS            14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   412 N Loudoun Valley          7- 8  o   -1     1    -     -2.09
   414 A Battlefield             8- 3       5     3           1.26
   417 H Osbourn Park            7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.02
   419 H Charlottesville        17- 8       9     9          n/a  
   424 H Osbourn                 9- 7       2     2          -0.00
   426 A Stonewall Jackson      12- 0      12    11           0.00
   429 A Mountain View          11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   430 A Liberty-Bealeton        9- 4       5    15    --    -5.00
   501 A Loudoun Valley          7- 6       1     0           1.47
   505 H Culpeper HS            12- 2      10    18           0.00
   510 N Loudoun Valley          5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.09
   514 H Culpeper HS            15- 1      14    18           0.00
   515 N Osbourn Park            5- 6      -1     0          -0.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Osbourn Park            7-12      -5     1    ---   -6.02
   429 A Mountain View          11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   510 N Loudoun Valley          5-11      -6     1    ---   -7.09
   410 A Culpeper HS            14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   430 A Liberty-Bealeton        9- 4       5    15    --    -5.00
   412 N Loudoun Valley          7- 8  o   -1     1    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.07 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.93 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/