Erie-Spears                   4 - 5


 
                                     Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = A Spears               Coach  =   Brandon Jeska         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   92.3560257    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Lew-Port               NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 83.8)     6- 3   
 407 A St Mary's White        NY I  Sec 6   ( 3- 7, 91.7)     1- 0   
 411 H St Mary's Blue         NY I  Sec 6   ( 7- 3, 94.8)     2- 1   
 412 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 2, 99.9)     2-13   
 415 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     1- 7   
 417 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 8- 5, 92.8)     1-11   
 424 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   ( 5- 5, 92.0)  4
 427 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 6, 86.4)  6
 430 A St Mary's Blue         NY I  Sec 6   ( 7- 3, 94.8)  2
 503 A Lew-Port               NY I  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 83.8)     5- 4   
 505 A Erie-McDowell          PA    2DNORTH ( 5-10, 80.7)     0-16   
 515 A Cathedral Prep         PA    2DNORTH ( 2-14, 76.3)     0-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Lew-Port                6- 3       3     0    +      3.04
   411 H St Mary's Blue          2- 1       1   -10    +++   11.00
   412 H Kenmore East            2-13     -11   -15           0.00
   415 A Gow School              1- 7      -6    -9    +      3.09
   417 H Gow School              1-11     -10    -8          -1.08
   503 A Lew-Port                5- 4       1     0           1.04
   505 A Erie-McDowell           0-16     -16     2          n/a  
   515 A Cathedral Prep          0-12     -12     7          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Erie-McDowell           0-16     -16     2    ---        
   515 A Cathedral Prep          0-12     -12     7    ---        


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H St Mary's Blue          2- 1       1   -10    +++   11.00
   402 A Lew-Port                6- 3       3     0    +      3.04
   415 A Gow School              1- 7      -6    -9    +      3.09




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.84 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.67 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    2.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0


  
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