Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Jim Kirkley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0232544    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 229 H NorthWest Guilford     NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 80.5)     8- 7  o
 311 A Apex                   NC    4A      (20- 4, 94.3)     5-17   
 314 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (10- 9, 87.3)     3- 4   
 315 H Annapolis Area Christn MD B  MIAA    ( 7-10, 83.5)     9-10   
 318 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)     3- 7   
 320 H Wilmington Laney       NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 83.8)     3- 4 2o
 325 A Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (12- 5, 96.5)     4- 8   
 327 H Greensboro Grimsley    NC    4A      (12- 7, 86.7)    10-13   
 402 A Bishop Sullivan        VA 2  Tidewtr (15- 7, 92.9)     6- 7   
 404 A Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   (10- 4, 99.9)     4- 9   
 408 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    3A/2A   (16- 5, 89.0)     7- 9   
 410 H Western Guilford       NC    3A/2A   (13- 4, 88.6)     9-11   
 411 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.8)    10- 2   
 415 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (20- 2, 98.4)     3-11   
 418 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (10- 9, 87.3)     4- 6   
 422 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)     3-10   
 424 A Broughton-Needham      NC    4A      ( 7- 8, 79.8)     6- 1   
 425 H Holy Cross-St Cath     CN    NRHSAA  (15- 1, 99.9)     7-11   
 429 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.8)     7- 1   
 501 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (20- 2, 98.4)     8-13   
 502 H R.J. Reynolds          NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 81.9)     8- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H NorthWest Guilford      8- 7  o    1     2          -1.14
   311 A Apex                    5-17     -12   -13           0.00
   314 A Durham Jordan           3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.32
   315 H Annapolis Area Christn  9-10      -1     0          n/a  
   318 H East Chapel Hill        3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   320 H Wilmington Laney        3- 4 2o   -1    -1           0.17
   325 A Durham Academy          4- 8      -4   -15          n/a  
   327 H Greensboro Grimsley    10-13      -3    -4           1.09
   402 A Bishop Sullivan         6- 7      -1   -12          n/a  
   404 A Williamsburg LC         4- 9      -5   -18          n/a  
   408 A Cardinal Gibbons        7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.01
   410 H Western Guilford        9-11      -2    -5    +      3.95
   411 H Northern Durham        10- 2       8    10    -     -2.00
   415 H Chapel Hill             3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
   418 H Durham Jordan           4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.73
   422 A East Chapel Hill        3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   424 A Broughton-Needham       6- 1       5     1    +      3.81
   425 H Holy Cross-St Cath      7-11      -4   -17          n/a  
   429 A Northern Durham         7- 1       6     9    -     -3.26
   501 A Chapel Hill             8-13      -5   -17    ++     5.00
   502 H R.J. Reynolds           8- 5       3     0    +      2.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Northern Durham        10- 2       8    10    -     -2.00
   429 A Northern Durham         7- 1       6     9    -     -3.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H East Chapel Hill        3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   325 A Durham Academy          4- 8      -4   -15    +++        
   402 A Bishop Sullivan         6- 7      -1   -12    +++        
   408 A Cardinal Gibbons        7- 9      -2    -8    +++    6.01
   425 H Holy Cross-St Cath      7-11      -4   -17    +++        
   314 A Durham Jordan           3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.32
   404 A Williamsburg LC         4- 9      -5   -18    ++         
   501 A Chapel Hill             8-13      -5   -17    ++     5.00
   410 H Western Guilford        9-11      -2    -5    +      3.95
   415 H Chapel Hill             3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
   418 H Durham Jordan           4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.73
   422 A East Chapel Hill        3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   424 A Broughton-Needham       6- 1       5     1    +      3.81
   502 H R.J. Reynolds           8- 5       3     0    +      2.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.82 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.78 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/