Region = MI 2                   
   Nickname = I Pilots               Coach  =   Chris Ferrari         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8949280    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Novi                   MI 1          (15- 3, 82.7)    13- 7   
 402 A Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1          (13- 9, 86.7)     8-19   
 405 A Liberty-Olentangy      OH 1  Reg 2   ( 3-15, 77.7)    12-10   
 408 H Cranbrook              MI 2          (16- 6, 82.1)    12-10   
 410 H Troy Athens            MI 1          ( 9- 9, 79.2)    11- 6   
 412 H Bloomfield Hills       MI 1          ( 8-12, 71.1)    14- 4   
 415 A OL St Mary's           MI 2          ( 9- 9, 76.9)    10- 8   
 417 H Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1          (16- 5, 88.3)     6-12   
 419 A Okemos                 MI 2          (11- 5, 79.3)     7- 8  o
 423 H Brother Rice           MI 1          (23- 0, 99.9)     3-16   
 429 H Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1          (11- 8, 82.9)     5- 9   
 502 H Grosse Pointe North    MI 2          (10- 7, 74.5)    13- 5   
 506 A Brother Rice           MI 1          (23- 0, 99.9)     2-14   
 513 A Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          (11- 9, 82.1)     9-10   
 516 H Lansing Waverly        MI 1          ( 9- 7, 78.4)    14- 7   
 522 H Bay City Central       MI 2          ( 5- 7, 74.0)    15- 3   
 528 N Okemos                 MI 2          (11- 5, 79.3)    13- 9   
 530 N Forest Hills Central   MI 2          (18- 4, 85.7)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Novi                   13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.43
   402 A Univ Detroit Jesuit     8-19     -11    -7    -     -2.30
   405 A Liberty-Olentangy      12-10       2     1          n/a  
   408 H Cranbrook              12-10       2     0    +      2.79
   410 H Troy Athens            11- 6       5     2    +      2.88
   412 H Bloomfield Hills       14- 4      10    10           0.00
   415 A OL St Mary's           10- 8       2     2          -0.03
   417 H Ann Arbor Pioneer       6-12      -6    -7           1.04
   419 A Okemos                  7- 8  o   -1     0          -0.68
   423 H Brother Rice            3-16     -13   -18           0.00
   429 H Detroit Catholic Cent   5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.34
   502 H Grosse Pointe North    13- 5       8     6           1.24
   506 A Brother Rice            2-14     -12   -20           0.00
   513 A Birmingham-Seaholm      9-10      -1    -3    +      2.15
   516 H Lansing Waverly        14- 7       7     2    ++     4.16
   522 H Bay City Central       15- 3      12     7    +      2.72
   528 N Okemos                 13- 9       4     0    +      3.17
   530 N Forest Hills Central    4- 5      -1    -5    ++     4.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Univ Detroit Jesuit     8-19     -11    -7    -     -2.30
   429 H Detroit Catholic Cent   5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Novi                   13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.43
   516 H Lansing Waverly        14- 7       7     2    ++     4.16
   530 N Forest Hills Central    4- 5      -1    -5    ++     4.62
   408 H Cranbrook              12-10       2     0    +      2.79
   410 H Troy Athens            11- 6       5     2    +      2.88
   513 A Birmingham-Seaholm      9-10      -1    -3    +      2.15
   522 H Bay City Central       15- 3      12     7    +      2.72
   528 N Okemos                 13- 9       4     0    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.13 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.38 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
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