Conf =  Div II                    Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Brian Tower           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2389832    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A John Glenn-Elwood      NY C  Sec 11  (12- 7, 86.8)     6-13   
 329 A East Hampton           NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 80.5)     4- 9   
 401 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.8)     5-13   
 403 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 77.0)     7- 8  o
 409 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.4)     9- 8   
 411 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 90.1)     6-19   
 415 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.3)    14-17   
 417 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 70.8)    16- 8   
 423 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.4)    18-11   
 429 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.9)     4-10   
 501 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)     5-16   
 507 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.3)    11-14   
 509 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 82.8)    10-13   
 513 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.1)    12-10   
 515 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 75.0)     7- 9   
 519 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)    11-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A John Glenn-Elwood       6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   329 A East Hampton            4- 9      -5    -4          -0.76
   401 H Middle Country          5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   403 H Patchogue-Medford       7- 8  o   -1     0          -0.96
   409 A Riverhead               9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.18
   411 A Bay Shore               6-19     -13   -13           0.00
   415 A Walt Whitman           14-17      -3    -8    ++     5.07
   417 H Brentwood              16- 8       8     6           1.89
   423 H Longwood               18-11       7     0    +++    6.47
   429 A Copiague                4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.37
   501 H Lindenhurst             5-16     -11   -16           0.00
   507 H Connetquot             11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.37
   509 A Half Hollow Hills East 10-13      -3    -6    +      3.61
   513 H North Babylon          12-10       2     4    -     -2.87
   515 A Commack                 7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.23
   519 A Sachem East            11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Copiague                4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.37
   513 H North Babylon          12-10       2     4    -     -2.87
   515 A Commack                 7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Longwood               18-11       7     0    +++    6.47
   409 A Riverhead               9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.18
   415 A Walt Whitman           14-17      -3    -8    ++     5.07
   507 H Connetquot             11-14      -3    -7    ++     4.37
   519 A Sachem East            11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.49
   325 A John Glenn-Elwood       6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   401 H Middle Country          5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   509 A Half Hollow Hills East 10-13      -3    -6    +      3.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.58 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.36 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/