Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Pat Collins           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7186737    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (18- 3, 96.5)     2-10   
 401 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.4)    15- 3   
 403 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 82.8)    12- 7   
 409 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 91.4)     4-15   
 411 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 77.0)     5- 4 2o
 415 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.9)    13-12  o
 417 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.3)    11- 5   
 421 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 75.0)    11- 3   
 423 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-14, 72.1)    13- 3   
 426 A Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.8)     8-12   
 429 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.8)     5- 6   
 501 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.0)     4-13   
 503 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)     4-19   
 507 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 76.6)    14-11   
 513 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)     9- 8 2o
 515 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 70.8)    18- 7   
 519 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 90.1)     6-15   
 523 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (14- 6, 93.0)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Mount Sinai             2-10      -8   -12    +      2.00
   401 H Riverhead              15- 3      12     5    ++     4.76
   403 A Half Hollow Hills East 12- 7       5     1    +      3.89
   409 A Smithtown West          4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.52
   411 H Patchogue-Medford       5- 4 2o    1     7    ---   -6.69
   415 A Copiague               13-12  o    1     4    -     -3.09
   417 H Walt Whitman           11- 5       6     0    ++     5.65
   421 A Commack                11- 3       8     8          -0.95
   423 A North Babylon          13- 3      10    11           0.00
   426 A Hauppauge               8-12      -4    -3          -0.17
   429 H Middle Country          5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.10
   501 H Smithtown East          4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.63
   503 H Lindenhurst             4-19     -15    -8          -1.61
   507 A Deer Park              14-11       3     7    --    -4.37
   513 A Sachem East             9- 8 2o    1     2          -1.23
   515 H Brentwood              18- 7      11    13           0.00
   519 A Bay Shore               6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.81
   523 A Lindenhurst            10-16      -6    -9    +      3.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Patchogue-Medford       5- 4 2o    1     7    ---   -6.69
   507 A Deer Park              14-11       3     7    --    -4.37
   409 A Smithtown West          4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.52
   415 A Copiague               13-12  o    1     4    -     -3.09
   501 H Smithtown East          4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.63
   519 A Bay Shore               6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Riverhead              15- 3      12     5    ++     4.76
   417 H Walt Whitman           11- 5       6     0    ++     5.65
   328 A Mount Sinai             2-10      -8   -12    +      2.00
   403 A Half Hollow Hills East 12- 7       5     1    +      3.89
   429 H Middle Country          5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.10
   523 A Lindenhurst            10-16      -6    -9    +      3.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.31 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.36 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/