Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6441650    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Fulton                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-14, 82.7)    15-10   
 402 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 92.7)    10- 9   
 404 H Utica Proctor          NY A  Sec 3   ( 0-18, 59.7)    25- 0   
 409 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (15- 5, 96.1)     5- 9   
 412 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-11, 87.7)    17-13   
 414 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-12, 86.2)    13- 1   
 416 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   (11- 8, 89.3)    19- 7   
 418 A Nottingham             NY B  Sec 3   ( 3-15, 75.5)    16- 4   
 422 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 86.4)    14-11   
 425 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (17- 4, 93.8)    10-12   
 429 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   (11- 8, 90.1)    16- 6   
 502 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-12, 86.2)    14- 6   
 507 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-13, 80.3)    15- 9   
 509 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (15- 5, 96.1)     8- 7  o
 514 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 92.7)     8- 7  o
 516 A Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-13, 78.0)    15-10   
 519 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (15- 6, 94.7)    16-15  o
 521 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (21- 3, 99.9)     6-11   
 530 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 8, 92.7)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Fulton                 15-10       5    13    --    -5.00
   402 H Baldwinsville          10- 9       1     3    -     -2.19
   404 H Utica Proctor          25- 0      25    36           0.00
   409 A Fayetteville-Manlius    5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.14
   412 A Horseheads             17-13       4     6          n/a  
   414 A Liverpool              13- 1      12     8           1.97
   416 H Corcoran               19- 7      12     6    +      3.42
   418 A Nottingham             16- 4      12    18           0.00
   422 H Oswego                 14-11       3     9    ---   -6.43
   425 A Auburn                 10-12      -2     0    -     -2.44
   429 A Central Square         16- 6      10     4    ++     5.89
   502 H Liverpool              14- 6       8     9          -1.64
   507 A Rome Free Academy      15- 9       6    13    --    -4.00
   509 H Fayetteville-Manlius    8- 7  o    1     0           1.25
   514 A Baldwinsville           8- 7  o    1     1          -0.57
   516 A Henninger              15-10       5    16    --    -5.00
   519 H Niagara Wheatfield     16-15  o    1     1          n/a  
   521 H West Genesee            6-11      -5    -4          -0.96
   530 H Baldwinsville           8-10      -2     3    --    -5.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Oswego                 14-11       3     9    ---   -6.43
   331 H Fulton                 15-10       5    13    --    -5.00
   507 A Rome Free Academy      15- 9       6    13    --    -4.00
   516 A Henninger              15-10       5    16    --    -5.00
   530 H Baldwinsville           8-10      -2     3    --    -5.19
   402 H Baldwinsville          10- 9       1     3    -     -2.19
   409 A Fayetteville-Manlius    5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.14
   412 A Horseheads             17-13       4     6    -          
   425 A Auburn                 10-12      -2     0    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Central Square         16- 6      10     4    ++     5.89
   416 H Corcoran               19- 7      12     6    +      3.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.06 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.85 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/