Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Michael Joyce         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2411041    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 9-10, 85.5)     7- 3   
 408 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (17- 3, 96.8)     9-10   
 410 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-17, 80.8)    12-11   
 414 H Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-17, 74.4)    19- 7   
 416 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 7, 93.5)     5-11   
 418 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   (11- 9, 89.3)    17-18   
 422 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 91.5)    12- 9   
 424 A Saratoga Spgs          NY A  Sec 2   ( 7-12, 87.0)    11- 9   
 501 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-17, 80.8)    13- 4   
 503 A St Joseph Central      MA 2          (14- 6, 85.2)    11-10  o
 506 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-15, 86.6)    11- 8   
 508 A Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (21- 1, 99.9)     4- 7   
 510 H West Springfield       MA 2          ( 1-16, 69.8)    17- 3   
 512 A Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   ( 4-17, 74.4)    15- 2   
 515 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   (11- 9, 89.3)    10- 9   
 520 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   (11- 8, 91.5)    13- 9   
 522 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   (11- 7, 86.9)    15-12   
 527 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 2-17, 80.8)    15-10   
 530 H Christian Bros         NY A  Sec 2   (14- 6, 91.2)    13- 7   
 603 N Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (21- 1, 99.9)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A LaSalle Institute       7- 3       4     6    -     -2.99
   408 A Guilderland             9-10      -1    -4    +      3.34
   410 A Bethlehem              12-11       1    11    ---   -9.00
   414 H Burnt Hills            19- 7      12    18           0.00
   416 H Shenendehowa            5-11      -6     0    --    -5.72
   418 A Columbia               17-18      -1     3    --    -4.15
   422 A Ballston Spa           12- 9       3     1           1.99
   424 A Saratoga Spgs          11- 9       2     5    -     -3.49
   501 H Bethlehem              13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   503 A St Joseph Central      11-10  o    1     7          n/a  
   506 H Shaker                 11- 8       3     6    -     -3.64
   508 A Niskayuna               4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.44
   510 H West Springfield       17- 3      14    23          n/a  
   512 A Burnt Hills            15- 2      13    18           0.00
   515 H Columbia               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.89
   520 H Ballston Spa           13- 9       4     1    +      2.25
   522 H Schenectady            15-12       3     6    -     -3.31
   527 H Bethlehem              15-10       5    12    --    -5.00
   530 H Christian Bros         13- 7       6     2    +      3.99
   603 N Niskayuna               3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Bethlehem              12-11       1    11    ---   -9.00
   503 A St Joseph Central      11-10  o    1     7    ---        
   416 H Shenendehowa            5-11      -6     0    --    -5.72
   418 A Columbia               17-18      -1     3    --    -4.15
   527 H Bethlehem              15-10       5    12    --    -5.00
   405 A LaSalle Institute       7- 3       4     6    -     -2.99
   424 A Saratoga Spgs          11- 9       2     5    -     -3.49
   506 H Shaker                 11- 8       3     6    -     -3.64
   515 H Columbia               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.89
   522 H Schenectady            15-12       3     6    -     -3.31
   603 N Niskayuna               3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Niskayuna               4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.44
   408 A Guilderland             9-10      -1    -4    +      3.34
   520 H Ballston Spa           13- 9       4     1    +      2.25
   530 H Christian Bros         13- 7       6     2    +      3.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.83 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.17 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/