Region = AZ 1  South            
   Nickname = Z Firebirds            Coach  =   John Silkey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.9052582    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 A Highland               AZ 1  North   ( 0-13, 78.6)    17- 5   
 222 A Desert Vista           AZ 1  North   ( 3-10, 85.4)    11- 6   
 226 H Brophy Prep            AZ 1  North   (17- 4, 99.9)     6-10   
 228 H Mountain Pointe        AZ 1  North   (10- 5, 95.2)     8- 7   
 301 H Saguaro                AZ 1  South   ( 9- 7, 93.0)    11- 9   
 307 A Gilbert                AZ 1  South   ( 1-12, 78.1)    13- 5   
 311 H Chandler               AZ 1  South   (12- 7, 94.7)     9- 8   
 319 A Corona del Sol         AZ 1  South   ( 8- 6, 93.0)     7- 5   
 325 H Dublin Jerome          OH 1  Reg 2   (14- 6, 94.1)     4- 8   
 328 H Gilbert                AZ 1  South   ( 1-12, 78.1)    18- 6   
 331 A Desert Mountain        AZ 1  North   ( 6- 9, 89.7)     7- 8   
 401 H St Francis Xavier      CN    FarWest ( 1- 2, 88.4)    11- 5   
 404 H Corona del Sol         AZ 1  South   ( 8- 6, 93.0)     4- 7   
 408 A Chandler               AZ 1  South   (12- 7, 94.7)     3-10   
 411 A Saguaro                AZ 1  South   ( 9- 7, 93.0)     9-10   
 415 H Saguaro                AZ 1  South   ( 9- 7, 93.0)     9- 6   
 419 H Chandler               AZ 1  South   (12- 7, 94.7)     8- 3   
 426 H Brophy Prep            AZ 1  North   (17- 4, 99.9)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Highland               17- 5      12    15           0.00
   222 A Desert Vista           11- 6       5     8    -     -3.52
   226 H Brophy Prep             6-10      -4    -5           1.73
   228 H Mountain Pointe         8- 7       1     0           2.00
   301 H Saguaro                11- 9       2     1           0.80
   307 A Gilbert                13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00
   311 H Chandler                9- 8       1     0           1.49
   319 A Corona del Sol          7- 5       2     0           1.08
   325 H Dublin Jerome           4- 8      -4     0          n/a  
   328 H Gilbert                18- 6      12    16           0.00
   331 A Desert Mountain         7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.24
   401 H St Francis Xavier      11- 5       6     6          n/a  
   404 H Corona del Sol          4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.15
   408 A Chandler                3-10      -7     0    ---   -6.28
   411 A Saguaro                 9-10      -1     0          -1.97
   415 H Saguaro                 9- 6       3     1           1.80
   419 H Chandler                8- 3       5     0    ++     5.49
   426 H Brophy Prep             8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Chandler                3-10      -7     0    ---   -6.28
   325 H Dublin Jerome           4- 8      -4     0    --         
   331 A Desert Mountain         7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.24
   404 H Corona del Sol          4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.15
   222 A Desert Vista           11- 6       5     8    -     -3.52
   307 A Gilbert                13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Chandler                8- 3       5     0    ++     5.49
   426 H Brophy Prep             8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.73
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.06 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.55 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/