Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Tigers               Coach  =   Glen Estacio          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    4A      ( 1-12, 71.2)    22- 1   
 310 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.8)    26- 3   
 314 H Charlotte Cou Day      NC    Prvate  (21- 7, 99.9)    16-11   
 317 H Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    (18- 1, 99.9)     8-13   
 318 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (10- 9, 87.3)    17-10   
 320 A Greensboro Page        NC    4A      (13- 3, 93.6)    12-11   
 328 A St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     (15- 5, 99.0)     9- 8   
 404 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)    17- 6   
 408 A Carrboro               NC    3A/2A   ( 3-13, 69.1)    14- 1   
 412 A Norfolk Academy        VA 1  Tidewtr (21- 2, 99.9)     7-12   
 415 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 5-16, 81.8)    11- 3   
 418 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-13, 71.8)     8- 4   
 419 H Charlotte Providence   NC    4A      (13- 6, 90.0)    15- 2   
 422 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (10- 9, 87.3)    16- 4   
 424 H Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (12- 5, 96.5)    15- 1   
 425 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)    12- 9   
 430 H Apex                   NC    4A      (20- 4, 94.3)    11- 9   
 501 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 5-16, 81.8)    13- 8   
 506 H NorthWest Guilford     NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 80.5)    22- 5   
 509 H Durham Jordan          NC    4A      (10- 9, 87.3)    21-11   
 514 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (18- 5, 92.8)    13- 9   
 517 N Apex                   NC    4A      (20- 4, 94.3)    12- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Wilmington New Hanover 22- 1      21    28           0.00
   310 H Northern Durham        26- 3      23    27           0.00
   314 H Charlotte Cou Day      16-11       5     0          n/a  
   317 H Gilman                  8-13      -5     0          n/a  
   318 H Durham Jordan          17-10       7    11    -     -3.00
   320 A Greensboro Page        12-11       1     4    -     -3.01
   328 A St Anne's-Belfield      9- 8       1    -1          n/a  
   404 A East Chapel Hill       17- 6      11     4    ++     5.17
   408 A Carrboro               14- 1      13    28           0.00
   412 A Norfolk Academy         7-12      -5    -2          n/a  
   415 A Durham Riverside       11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   418 A Northern Durham         8- 4       4    25    ---   -6.00
   419 H Charlotte Providence   15- 2      13     9           0.80
   422 A Durham Jordan          16- 4      12    10           0.00
   424 H Durham Academy         15- 1      14     2          n/a  
   425 H East Chapel Hill       12- 9       3     6    -     -3.41
   430 H Apex                   11- 9       2     4    -     -2.92
   501 H Durham Riverside       13- 8       5    17    --    -5.00
   506 H NorthWest Guilford     22- 5      17    18           0.00
   509 H Durham Jordan          21-11      10    11           0.00
   514 H East Chapel Hill       13- 9       4     6    -     -2.41
   517 N Apex                   12- 8       4     4          -0.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Northern Durham         8- 4       4    25    ---   -6.00
   317 H Gilman                  8-13      -5     0    --         
   501 H Durham Riverside       13- 8       5    17    --    -5.00
   318 H Durham Jordan          17-10       7    11    -     -3.00
   320 A Greensboro Page        12-11       1     4    -     -3.01
   412 A Norfolk Academy         7-12      -5    -2    -          
   415 A Durham Riverside       11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   425 H East Chapel Hill       12- 9       3     6    -     -3.41
   430 H Apex                   11- 9       2     4    -     -2.92
   514 H East Chapel Hill       13- 9       4     6    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Durham Academy         15- 1      14     2    +++        
   314 H Charlotte Cou Day      16-11       5     0    ++         
   404 A East Chapel Hill       17- 6      11     4    ++     5.17
   328 A St Anne's-Belfield      9- 8       1    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.39 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.26 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   50.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.275.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/