Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-E           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Messersmith      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3718414    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 A Gold Country           CA    NCLA-E  ( 6- 8, 78.2)    13- 6   
 301 A Redding                CA    NCLA-E  ( 1- 9, 72.7)    11- 5   
 309 A Chico                  CA    NCLA-E  (10- 4, 87.9)     5- 6  o
 311 A Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-E  ( 0-11, 63.4)    17- 2   
 315 H Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  ( 4-10, 76.1)    14-11   
 329 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-N  (10- 7, 85.7)     6-10   
 405 H Redding                CA    NCLA-E  ( 1- 9, 72.7)    11- 6   
 412 N Rancho Cotati          CA    NCLA-N  ( 5-11, 76.1)     7- 2   
 412 N Santa Rosa             CA    NCLA-N  (13- 2, 91.1)     5- 7   
 413 N Palo Alto (THLC)       CA    NCLA-S  ( 9- 8, 84.2)     6-15   
 416 A Orangevale             CA    NCLA-E  ( 4-10, 76.1)    14- 8   
 419 A Stockton               CA    NCLA-E  ( 7- 4, 82.3)     8- 5   
 426 H Gold Country           CA    NCLA-E  ( 6- 8, 78.2)    11- 4   
 430 H Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-E  ( 0-11, 63.4)    17- 0   
 510 A West Valley            CA    NCLA-S  (18- 0, 99.9)     3-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Gold Country           13- 6       7     6           0.87
   301 A Redding                11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   309 A Chico                   5- 6  o   -1    -3    +      2.49
   311 A Sierra Foothills       17- 2      15    20           0.00
   315 H Orangevale             14-11       3     9    ---   -6.10
   329 A Casa Grande             6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.67
   405 H Redding                11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   412 N Rancho Cotati           7- 2       5     8    -     -3.64
   412 N Santa Rosa              5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.29
   413 N Palo Alto (THLC)        6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.54
   416 A Orangevale             14- 8       6     8    -     -2.29
   419 A Stockton                8- 5       3     2           0.94
   426 H Gold Country           11- 4       7     6           0.05
   430 H Sierra Foothills       17- 0      17    21           0.00
   510 A West Valley             3-18     -15   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Orangevale             14-11       3     9    ---   -6.10
   413 N Palo Alto (THLC)        6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.54
   301 A Redding                11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   405 H Redding                11- 6       5    12    --    -5.00
   329 A Casa Grande             6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.67
   412 N Rancho Cotati           7- 2       5     8    -     -3.64
   416 A Orangevale             14- 8       6     8    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 N Santa Rosa              5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.29
   309 A Chico                   5- 6  o   -1    -3    +      2.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.77 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.32 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/