Covington Catholic            4 - 7


 
                                     Region = KY    Div-2            
   Nickname = Y Colonels             Coach  =   John Cahill           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   77.0929565    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Lindbergh              MO    Patrt-1 ( 6-12, 87.2)     0-10   
 412 H Lexington Dunbar       KY    Div-1   ( 3-11, 81.3)     5-19   
 415 A Louisville Male        KY    Div-2   ( 6- 5, 76.7)    10-14   
 417 A North Oldham           KY    Div-2   ( 2- 5, 72.8)     9- 8   
 419 A Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg 4   (13- 6, 91.9)     2-24   
 422 A Lafayette              KY    Div-2   ( 1- 7, 65.8)    12- 4   
 426 H Oldham                 KY    Div-2   ( 3- 8, 74.7)     8- 6   
 501 H Louisville Eastern     KY    Div-2   (13- 3, 86.6)     5-12   
 506 H Lexington Henry Clay   KY    Div-2   ( 9- 3, 85.2)     5-11   
 510 H Louisville Male        KY    Div-2   ( 6- 5, 76.7)     9- 5   
 513 A Louisville Eastern     KY    Div-2   (13- 3, 86.6)     7-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Lindbergh               0-10     -10   -11          n/a  
   412 H Lexington Dunbar        5-19     -14    -5    --    -4.90
   415 A Louisville Male        10-14      -4    -3          -0.22
   417 A North Oldham            9- 8       1     0           0.86
   419 A Archbishop Moeller      2-24     -22   -18          n/a  
   422 A Lafayette              12- 4       8     7           0.86
   426 H Oldham                  8- 6       2     1           0.48
   501 H Louisville Eastern      5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   506 H Lexington Henry Clay    5-11      -6    -9    +      3.05
   510 H Louisville Male         9- 5       4     0    ++     4.54
   513 A Louisville Eastern      7-15      -8   -13    +      2.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Lexington Dunbar        5-19     -14    -5    --    -4.90


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Louisville Male         9- 5       4     0    ++     4.54
   501 H Louisville Eastern      5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   506 H Lexington Henry Clay    5-11      -6    -9    +      3.05
   513 A Louisville Eastern      7-15      -8   -13    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.56 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.08 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3


  
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