Region = NY A  Sec 8            
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Pete Magnuson         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.2008667    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 A Bethpage               NY B  Sec 8   ( 8-10, 88.5)    10- 9   
 325 H North Shore            NY C  Sec 8   (11- 6, 91.3)     8- 5   
 328 H Hewlett                NY B  Sec 8   (10- 6, 92.6)     6- 8   
 405 N Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 86.1)     5- 9   
 409 A Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (11- 6, 96.6)     3- 7   
 415 H Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   (14- 4, 98.1)     4-12   
 418 H Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (17- 5, 99.4)     3-10   
 423 H Port Washington        NY A  Sec 8   (11- 5, 90.9)    12-13   
 425 H Mepham                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 7-10, 86.3)     9-11   
 430 H Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   (11- 8, 93.8)     3- 5   
 503 A Oceanside              NY A  Sec 8   (12- 6, 95.9)     6- 4   
 507 A Uniondale              NY A  Sec 8   ( 2-12, 73.6)    16- 2   
 513 A Elmont                 NY A  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 77.3)    12- 2   
 517 A Freeport               NY A  Sec 8   ( 4-11, 82.8)    12- 4   
 520 H Valley Stream Central  NY A  Sec 8   ( 8- 8, 78.5)    12- 6   
 521 H East Meadow            NY A  Sec 8   ( 9- 8, 87.3)    11- 5   
 523 A Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   ( 8-10, 91.8)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Bethpage               10- 9       1     0           0.99
   325 H North Shore             8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.90
   328 H Hewlett                 6- 8      -2    -3           1.18
   405 N Northport               5- 9      -4     2          n/a  
   409 A Farmingdale             3- 7      -4    -8    ++     4.11
   415 H Massapequa              4-12      -8    -8           0.65
   418 H Syosset                 3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   423 H Port Washington        12-13      -1    -1           0.41
   425 H Mepham                  9-11      -2     3    --    -5.09
   430 H Hicksville              3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.41
   503 A Oceanside               6- 4       2    -7    +++    9.37
   507 A Uniondale              16- 2      14    14           0.00
   513 A Elmont                 12- 2      10    11           0.00
   517 A Freeport               12- 4       8     5    +      2.30
   520 H Valley Stream Central  12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   521 H East Meadow            11- 5       6     2    +      3.91
   523 A Baldwin                 7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 N Northport               5- 9      -4     2    ---        
   425 H Mepham                  9-11      -2     3    --    -5.09
   520 H Valley Stream Central  12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   523 A Baldwin                 7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Oceanside               6- 4       2    -7    +++    9.37
   325 H North Shore             8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.90
   409 A Farmingdale             3- 7      -4    -8    ++     4.11
   418 H Syosset                 3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   430 H Hicksville              3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.41
   517 A Freeport               12- 4       8     5    +      2.30
   521 H East Meadow            11- 5       6     2    +      3.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.97 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.40 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/