Conf =  Kimber                    Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Mountaineers         Coach  =   Todd Pagel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.8172607    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Voorhees               NJ    Grp-II  ( 6-14, 74.9)     6- 7  o
 404 A Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   ( 5-10, 79.3)     5-12   
 408 H Somerville             NJ    Grp-I   (10- 8, 76.5)    12- 5   
 412 A Caldwell               NJ    Grp-I   (10- 8, 77.7)     9- 8 2o
 415 H Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private (16- 5, 80.1)     6-10   
 417 H Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7-11, 72.2)    10- 6   
 418 A North Warren           NJ    Grp-I   (17- 3, 82.8)     5-12   
 421 H Delaware Valley        NJ    Grp-I   ( 8- 9, 76.0)    12- 6   
 423 A Watchung Hills         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 5-12, 79.3)     6-10   
 425 A Newark Academy         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-10, 75.1)    11- 8   
 429 H Cranford               NJ    Grp-II  (15- 4, 85.6)    14-13   
 502 H St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (13- 5, 82.8)    10-16   
 503 A Rutgers Prep           NJ    Private (16- 5, 80.1)     6- 7   
 507 H Governor Livingston    NJ    Grp-I   ( 2-17, 64.5)    18- 4   
 513 A Verona                 NJ    Grp-I   (11- 8, 73.1)    12- 6   
 517 H Verona                 NJ    Grp-I   (11- 8, 73.1)    14- 2   
 519 A New Providence         NJ    Grp-I   ( 2-14, 64.3)    14- 1   
 520 A Madison Boro           NJ    Grp-I   (14- 5, 91.0)     3-17   
 522 H North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp-III (10-10, 79.9)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Voorhees                6- 7  o   -1     2    -     -3.33
   404 A Pingry                  5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.92
   408 H Somerville             12- 5       7     2    ++     4.09
   412 A Caldwell                9- 8 2o    1     0           1.51
   415 H Rutgers Prep            6-10      -4     0    -     -3.29
   417 H Edison                 10- 6       4     7    -     -3.15
   418 A North Warren            5-12      -7    -5          -1.36
   421 H Delaware Valley        12- 6       6     3    +      2.63
   423 A Watchung Hills          6-10      -4    -2          -1.89
   425 A Newark Academy         11- 8       3     2           0.87
   429 H Cranford               14-13       1    -6    +++    7.16
   502 H St Peter's Prep        10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.63
   503 A Rutgers Prep            6- 7      -1    -2           1.92
   507 H Governor Livingston    18- 4      14    14           0.00
   513 A Verona                 12- 6       6     4           1.92
   517 H Verona                 14- 2      12     6    +      3.70
   519 A New Providence         14- 1      13    12           0.00
   520 A Madison Boro            3-17     -14   -13           0.00
   522 H North Hunterdon         5-10      -5     0    --    -4.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Pingry                  5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.92
   522 H North Hunterdon         5-10      -5     0    --    -4.54
   402 A Voorhees                6- 7  o   -1     2    -     -3.33
   415 H Rutgers Prep            6-10      -4     0    -     -3.29
   417 H Edison                 10- 6       4     7    -     -3.15
   502 H St Peter's Prep        10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Cranford               14-13       1    -6    +++    7.16
   408 H Somerville             12- 5       7     2    ++     4.09
   421 H Delaware Valley        12- 6       6     3    +      2.63
   517 H Verona                 14- 2      12     6    +      3.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.29 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.13 Local SOS Rank.............    62
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    70
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/