Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Scott Faulkner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0306702    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   (11- 8, 89.3)     4- 5   
 329 H Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   ( 1-18, 71.3)    13- 1   
 402 A Owego Free Academy     NY B  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 81.8)     9- 3   
 403 H Seton Catholic Central NY B  Sec 4   (12- 8, 86.2)    10- 9  o
 405 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-15, 83.3)     9- 8   
 409 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (16- 4, 98.6)     6-12   
 411 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (11- 9, 90.9)     8-14   
 415 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 96.8)     7- 8   
 418 A Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   (10-10, 91.1)     6- 7   
 422 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-11, 87.7)     4- 8   
 429 H Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (18- 5, 99.9)     4-16   
 502 A Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-15, 83.3)     8- 7   
 507 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (16- 4, 98.6)     4-12   
 510 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (17- 2, 98.9)     6-15   
 513 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (14- 6, 96.8)     7- 9   
 516 H Corning West           NY B  Sec 4   (10-10, 91.1)     7-16   
 520 A Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-11, 87.7)     9- 7   
 522 A Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (18- 5, 99.9)     4-10   
 531 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-15, 83.3)    10- 6   
 603 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   (16- 4, 98.6)     2-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Corcoran                4- 5      -1    -3          n/a  
   329 H Whitney Point          13- 1      12    16           0.00
   402 A Owego Free Academy      9- 3       6     4           1.81
   403 H Seton Catholic Central 10- 9  o    1     1          -0.66
   405 H Union-Endicott          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.54
   409 A Vestal                  6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   411 H East Syracuse-Minoa     8-14      -6    -3          n/a  
   415 H Ithaca                  7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.97
   418 A Corning West            6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   422 H Horseheads              4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.15
   429 H Corning East            4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   502 A Union-Endicott          8- 7       1     2          -1.67
   507 H Vestal                  4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   510 H Penfield                6-15      -9   -10          n/a  
   513 A Ithaca                  7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   516 H Corning West            7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.79
   520 A Horseheads              9- 7       2    -1    +      3.72
   522 A Corning East            4-10      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   531 H Union-Endicott         10- 6       4     4          -0.54
   603 A Vestal                  2-10      -8   -12    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Horseheads              4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.15
   516 H Corning West            7-16      -9    -3    --    -5.79
   405 H Union-Endicott          9- 8       1     4    -     -3.54
   411 H East Syracuse-Minoa     8-14      -6    -3    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Ithaca                  7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.97
   513 A Ithaca                  7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   409 A Vestal                  6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   418 A Corning West            6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   522 A Corning East            4-10      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   325 A Corcoran                4- 5      -1    -3    +          
   507 H Vestal                  4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   520 A Horseheads              9- 7       2    -1    +      3.72
   603 A Vestal                  2-10      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.91 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.48 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/